tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14162253.post5554375586813546301..comments2024-03-27T08:39:28.807-06:00Comments on Wash Park Prophet: Iowa Wants A Big Heap of CrazyAndrew Oh-Willekehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02537151821869153861noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14162253.post-77231078792821368302011-08-15T18:21:41.811-06:002011-08-15T18:21:41.811-06:00Meh, I'll wait until the actual Iowa caucuses ...Meh, I'll wait until the actual Iowa caucuses before I say anything about Iowa Republicans. The straw poll is a paid event and only attracts some of the activists, so performance in the straw poll is heavily influenced by how much a campaign is willing to spend on tickets. Romney made a pretty open decision not to participate, so he wasn't going to do well. I don't think that he'll win the actual caucuses--while he won the 2007 straw poll, the second place finisher Huckabee won the actual caucuses--he'll make a stronger showing than he did at the straw poll.<br /><br />Pawlenty dropped out because he staked his campaign on the straw poll (i.e. spent a lot of time an money on it) and only eked out a distant third, which suggests that continuing his campaign is a waste of time.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14162253.post-52931410779958959262011-08-15T13:24:12.779-06:002011-08-15T13:24:12.779-06:00Most other polls have show Romney as a front runne...Most other polls have show Romney as a front runner vis Obama. And Paul hasn't had a lot of recent bad press which will change if he becomes more prominent.Andrew Oh-Willekehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02537151821869153861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14162253.post-49577569511480844622011-08-15T10:33:55.854-06:002011-08-15T10:33:55.854-06:00http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/05/05/cn...<a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/05/05/cnn-poll-still-no-front-runner-in-the-battle-for-the-gop-nomination/" rel="nofollow">http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/05/05/cnn-poll-still-no-front-runner-in-the-battle-for-the-gop-nomination/</a><br /><br />"Who does best against Obama? Paul. The congressman from Texas, who also ran as a libertarian candidate for president in 1988 and who is well liked by many in the tea party movement, trails the president by only seven points (52 to 45 percent) in a hypothetical general election showdown."Michael Malakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10007582156392845677noreply@blogger.com