The longer a political party has been out of power, the more likely it is to nominate a moderate Presidential candidate. Since the Republicans have been out of power only a single term, had a surge that gave them control of the House of Representatives in 2010, and have strongly favored extremist candidates so far in their Presidential nomination process that has become more Tea Party controlled than in the past, there is good reasons and historical precedents to suggest that the GOP nominee in 2012 will be a real conservative extremists.
This is good news for incumbent President Obama's re-election bid, as is the high level of public disgust with Congress, disproportionately places on Republican in opinion polls, as a result of the debt limit crisis this summer that resulted in a down grade of the credit rating of the United States.
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