In recent history, 1994 had the biggest changeover in the US Congress. I wonder if there was a similar poll in late 1993 to compare against.
The NBC/WSJ poll results from July 1993 to May 1994 were similar, with 47 percent to 55 percent saying that it was time to give a new person a chance, and only 30 percent to 37 percent saying that their House Member deserved re-election.
The same question from the same polling operation now says:
Q. In the 2006 election for US Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
Deserves to be reelected: 37%
Give new person a chance: 51%
We are seeing a sea change in public opinion. We are currently on track to see a 1994 class turnover in Congress. It is hardly fate. But, when an NPR reporter announces that the prevailing mood among Republicans in Congress is "every man for himself" and the President's approval ratings are at record lows, something major is going to have to happen for that fate to be avoided.