01 June 2023

Record Low Teen Birthrates Again

From this CDC publication. The body text notes that:
The provisional number of births for the United States in 2022 was 3,661,220, a nonsignificant decline from 2021. 
The general fertility rate was 56.1 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, down less than 1% from 2021. 
The cesarean delivery rate rose to 32.2% in 2022, from 32.1% in 2021; the low risk cesarean delivery rate was steady at 26.3%. The preterm birth rate declined 1% in 2022 to 10.38%. . . .

The provisional total fertility rate for the United States in 2022 was 1,665.0 births per 1,000 women, essentially unchanged from the rate in 2021 (1,664.0). The total fertility rate declined by an average of 2% per year from 2014 through 2020, then rose 1% from 2020 to 2021. The total fertility rate estimates the number of births that a hypothetical group of 1,000 women would have over their lifetimes, based on the age-specific birth rate in a given year. 

The total fertility rate in 2022 remained at below replacement—the level at which a given generation can exactly replace itself (2,100 births per 1,000 women). The rate has generally been below replacement since 1971 and consistently below replacement since 2007.  . . . 

The provisional birth rate for teenagers in 2022 was 13.5 births per 1,000 females aged 15–19, down 3% from 2021 (13.9), reaching another record low for this age group. The rate declined an average of 8% annually from 2007 through 2021. The rate has declined by 67% since 2007 (41.5), the most recent period of continued decline, and 78% since 1991, the most recent peak. The number of births to females aged 15–19 was 143,442 in 2022, down 2% from 2021. 

The provisional birth rates for teenagers aged 15–17 and 18–19 in 2022 were 5.5 and 25.6 births per 1,000 females, respectively, down by 2% and 4% from 2021, which were record lows for both groups. From 2007 through 2021, the rates for teenagers aged 15–17 and 18–19 declined by 9% and 7% per year, respectively. 

The provisional birth rate for females aged 10–14 years was 0.2 births per 1,000 in 2022, unchanged since 2015. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 20–24 in 2022 was 60.4 births per 1,000 women, down 2% from 2021 (61.5), yet another record low for this age group. This rate has declined by 43% since 2007. The number of births to women in their early 20s declined by 2% from 2021 to 2022. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 25–29 was 93.4 births per 1,000 women, up less than 1% from 2021 (93.0). The number of births to women in their late 20s was down 1% from 2021 to 2022. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 30–34 in 2022 was 97.0 births per 1,000 women, down 1% from 2021 (97.6). The number of births to women in their early 30s was essentially unchanged from 2021 to 2022. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 35–39 was 54.9 births per 1,000 women, up 2% from 2021 (53.7). The number of births to women in their late 30s also rose by 2% from 2021 to 2022. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 40–44 in 2022 was 12.5 births per 1,000 women, up 4% from 2021 (12.0). The rate for this age group has risen almost continuously from 1985 through 2021. The number of births to these women rose by 6% from 2021 to 2022. 

The provisional birth rate for women aged 45–49 (includes births to women aged 50 and over) was 1.1 births per 1,000 women, up from 0.9 in 2021, the first change in this rate since 2015. The number of births to women in this age group rose by 12% from 2021 to 2022. 

1 comment:

Dave Barnes said...

More immigrants are needed.
Bonus points to pregnant 25-year-olds