15 March 2011

More Physics Scuttlebutt

Some miscellaneous physics rumor and news via Lubos Motl.

Re Higgs boson mass as of March 2001:

[M]asses below 114 GeV are excluded by direct searches by LEP, the European collider who lived in the same tunnel as the LHC before the LHC bought an apartment over there. Indirect precision measurements exclude Higgses above 185 GeV. . . . At the 95% confidence level, they may exclude the interval of 157-173 GeV; at the 90% confidence level, they exclude the whole 156-183 GeV or so. With the less demanding 90% standards, only a tiny interval 183-185 GeV is left over there and it's very likely that the Higgs isn't hiding there. (Previously, the allowed island was 175-185 GeV or so, so the island has been mostly submerged.) This approximately leaves the 114-156 GeV interval. . . . a Higgs below 120 GeV is getting more likely - by a factor of 3 or more - than a Higgs above 120 GeV.


Re Composite Leptons (i.e. subcomponents of electrons and neutrinos):

A D0 and CMS experimenter . . . has claimed, during a CERN video press conference a week ago, that the CMS has produced something that would really shock me and most others - namely the evidence of the compositeness of leptons.

If that's true, then whoops. It would be a spectacular discovery that would be very likely to kill GUT theories as we know them - and many other related paradigms. Please, try to understand that the rumor is pretty likely to be false; it's not even clear that the . . . physicist meant what it seemed to have been, and . . . there are many other places where your skepticism may get healthily incarnated.


The DZERO experiment has been looking for evidence to put experimental limits on the scale of composite components of leptons for some time. A summary of its most recently announced findings on the matter appear in the chart below:



The latest limits on composite quarks from CMS were reported in January.

There is also scuttlebutt from Resonaances:

Re Possible Dark Matter Particle At LHC:

The ATLAS research project at LHC has detected a possible new particle with a mass of 7 GeV, but the significant of the signal is modest enough at this point that it could simply be a statistical fluke in the data. Direct dark matter particle searches in astronomy have been suggestive of a possible dark matter particle of that mass, but not very definitive. The mass would be about right for a SUSY neutralino, although many other candidate particles are also possible.

Re MSSM at LHC:

Also (from the same link) LHC data is continuing to disfavor the minimal supersymmetric model version of the Higgs boson, in which "[a]part from the Higgs boson there are 2 additional electrically neutral scalar particles" as the data are not a good fit for the two additional electrically neutral scalary particles, although non-MSSM models with three Higgs bosons could still fit the data.

Superkamiokande: Neutrinos Not Very Weird

The latest data from the Superkamiokande experiment, which measures neutrino properties and looks for proton decay are out and support a pretty simple model. The slides on the latest conference presentation by Jeffrey Wilkes and a summary of his presentation at neutel11 are available.

Basically, the experimental data from Superkamiokande supports a model where there are three massive neutrinos that oscillate back and forward from one kind to the other at well defined probabilities, with the probabilities and masses being the same for neutrinos and anti-neutrions, while strongly disfavoring many beyond the Standard Model conjectures.

My understanding of these summaries of the presentation is that sterile neutrinos and decay models outside the three neutrino oscillation model are ruled out at a seven sigma level (in physics, five sigma is usually considered definitive, while less than three sigma is consider likely to be a fluke), the existence of a tau neutrino is supported at a 3.8 sigma level, and once again, there is no evidence of proton decay, with tau over beta greater than 1.21 x 10^34 years.

The data come close to ruling out some of the predictions of decay rates of processes in a SUSY SO(10) model and as more data are accumulated, this inconsistency (or experimental support) will become more clear.

The averaged data from Superkamiokande by a couple of different methods, and the MINOS confirm each other in some cases to within two sigma. One of the Superkaiokande methods is within one sigma of the MINOS best fit, and the two Superkaimiokande methods are within one sigma of each other.

The data support the hypothesis that neutrinos and anti-neutrinos have the same masses (as opposed to the "mirror neutrino" hypothesis). The best fit atmospheric data both have a best fit for sine squared two theta of 1.0 for both neutrinos and anti-neutrinos, and the best fit for delta mass squared for neutrinos is 2.1 x 10^-3 eV^2 while it is 2.0 x 10^-3 eV^2 for anti-neutrinos.

The best fit of the study finds that the mass difference squared between electron neutrinos and muon neutrinos is 7.7 E-5 and that the mass difference squared between muon neutrinos and tau neutrinos is 2.1 E-3.

The best fits for the oscillation matrix parameters are also provided: Sine squared two theta estimates are provided for each of three oscillations: 23=0.50; 12=0.30 and 13=0.04. The sum of the square root of the three quantities ought to equal the square root of two (which would imply that the martix has probabilities that sum to 100% in all cases), which they do to within the margin of error of the measurements. The best fit for the CP violating interference phase is zero, although there is no significan constraint the the interference phase at the 90% confidence level.

UPDATE (a few minutes later): The MINOS experiment supports somewhat more weird results. Their best fit delta_m^2 measurement is 2.32x10^-3 eV^2, which is a bit more than the Superkamiokande, but unremarkable given the amount of experimental and systemic error estimated to be present in each result.

But, in their data "there is presently an interesting tension between neutrinos and antineutrinos, at the 2.3 sigma difference, in the oscillation parameters." A difference, if one does exist, implies either CPT violation (and with it Lorentz invariance violation), or that there are two different types of particles out there: neutrinos and mirror neutrinos. Generally, under three sigma results that seem to butt up against well established theory and aren't confirmed by multiple experiments with different methodologies are expected to be experimental error, but this kind of result still bears further examination.

MINOS claims to have "the World’s most precise delta_m^2 measurement" but the error bars in the Superkamiokande research in the experiemental data constrain charts look larger in MINOS to me, merely eyeballing it.

It also bears mentioning that all of the experiments so far in the presentation, at least, are ongoing, and promise significantly more precise measurements in the medium term (i.e. over the next few years to a decade).

UPDATE TWO (3-15-2011): "Xenon100 will not present new results at NEUTEL, we have to bit our nails for a few more weeks." Recall that Xenon 100 is doing dark matter direct detection studies. My Monday blog post on this had noted the rumor that this might be the case.

Some context for all of this data is available at Wikipedia.

14 March 2011

The Search For Dark Matter Continues

On Wednesday, the Xenon 100 experiment will report its new experimental boundaries on the mass and interaction scale of possible directly detectable dark matter particles. The trouble is that the experimental boundaries have been tightening since the 1980s and there is still no good evidence of any "signal" of a directly detected dark matter particle.

The most appealing possibility – a weak scale dark matter particle interacting, like neutrinos, via Z-boson exchange - leads to the cross section of order 10^-37 cm^2 which has been excluded in the 80s. There exists another natural possibility for WIMP dark matter: a particle interacting via Higgs boson exchange. This would lead to the cross section in the ballpark of 10^-43cm^2 (however strongly depending on the Higgs mass, and also on the coupling of dark matter to the Higgs) which is currently being probed by experiment.

If Xenon100 see nothing, it is a good moment to seriously start worrying whether the WIMP paradigm corresponds to reality, although models that predict even lower cross sections do exist. In the worst case dark matter may be very weakly interacting (axions, gravitinos) or very light (keV-MeV scale dark matter), in which case the direct detection searches are doomed from the start.

For the next decade or so the direct detection will go in the direction of monster detectors that will allow us to improve the sensitivity down to 10^-47 cm^2. Preparations for a 1 ton xenon detector are already well underway, while 10 ton xenon detectors are on the drawing board. Actually, it’s not the size of the experiment that is the limit here. When the sensitivity reaches 10^-48cm^2, probably sometime in the next decade, these searches will encounter the background of atmospheric neutrinos and diffuse supernova neutrinos. Thus, asymptotically, dark matter detection will merge into neutrino physics[.]


Current boundaries suggest islands of possibility around 10 GeV mass and 80 GeV mass. There are no rumors of ground breaking new discoveries, but are rumors that results from Xenon 100 may be delayed due to difficulties in data analysis.

The Anti-Canon

Dystopia isn't just for science fiction writers.

Argument from the “anticanon,” the set of cases whose central propositions all legitimate decisions must refute, has become a persistent but curious feature of American constitutional law. These cases, Dred Scott v. Sandford, Plessy v. Ferguson, Lochner v. New York, and Korematsu v. United States, are consistently cited in Supreme Court opinions, in constitutional law casebooks, and at confirmation hearings as prime examples of weak constitutional analysis.


From here.

Some anti-canonical examples pre-date the Republic. For example, the "Star Chamber" is a classic anti-canonical example against which the Bill of Rights protections for due process are examined.

Does Prenatal Testosterone Make You Smart?

Prenatal exposure of higher levels of testosterone turns out to be a relatively easy thing to measure because it manifests in a person's second to fourth digit ratio on their hands. Previous studies of digit ratio have suggest that this exposure may increase one's likelihood of being homosexual. A new study suggests that it may increase one's odds of having an IQ over 130, adding to prior work showing connections to primate social behavior, math test scores of seven year olds, and sports performance in women, to name just a few.

Scientists have also discovered a type of cell in the intestines that produces opium-like substances called tuft cells.

Also, in proof that probably dubious seeming experiments can produce good results, Japanese scientists have discovered that soaking superconductor material in Sake dramatically increases the rate at which the superconductors are produced. Further experimentation determined that superconductor materials prefer red wine to whiskey, suggesting that the alcohol itself is probably not the critical factor.

Daylight savings time and other annoyances

* So, we're back on daylight savings time, which takes more of the year than standard time. Daylight savings time is like the ultimate popular kid stunt: "I can make the entire country pretend its an hour ealier than it really is, just because I can get everyone to agree with me." And, of course, once it takes off, you really have no choice but to go along. Still, losing an hour in the spring is brutal.

* Washington Park in Denver has a special magical glow that keeps it attractive regardless of what is going on in the outside world. But, I'm beginning to think that it may be a force field instead. I've been trying to stop paying $17 a month for free TV by setting up an antenna. Before I started getting basic cable, I'd tried it from a powered antenna inside my living room and get one or two channels. This weekend, after going to the trouble of setting a powered antenna up on the highest point on my roof, I got absolutely zero reception. Needless to say, I am not very impressed with the digital broadcast TV revolution, although it may simply be that Wash Park is as much of a TV dead zone as it has a reputation for being a cell phone dead zone.

* Another of the great mysteries of life is why old computers accumulate problems. They produce stray, seemingly meaningless error messages. They slow down. Virus scans and disk defragmentation stops helping. It might be possible to remove accumulated programs, but who knows what it is safe to remove. It reaches the point where you'd like to just run the restore disks and start over, but of course, by that point you've invested money in programs and misplaced the restore disks and the original programs with their access codes.

* Then, of course, there are the dreaded smart phones. I held out for the longest time. But, finally, about three years ago, I had to give in because it was expected that you have access to e-mail at all times for work. But, every now and then, you have to change phones, and the switch is painful. It takes weeks to get it back to the unsteady compromise that you have with the machine before you switched, when you knew how to work what you needed and it all worked smoothly.

* My daughter embarks on the brave new world of Home Economics (or whatever they call it these days), today. Rumor has it that the cooking agenda is full of things that we would never actually cook in our own house for want of nutritional value, but such is life. Hello Hamburger Helper(R)!

* The 8.9 magnitude Earthquake which initially seems to have spared Japan too much damage, now seems to have actually inflicted a Katrina class blow as more news reaches the world.

* The situation in Libya is getting ugly, as Kaddafi and the rebels civil war. (On the bright side, the monarch of Oman appears to be ready to convert from an absolute to a constitutional monarchy in the next thirty days.)

* Japanese manga and anime make frequent use of images and scenes that draw on the characters of the real story, but rather than being blubs are just riffs on the concepts that aren't part of the story itself, something quite rare in American media (as is the habit of having the author reserving space to directly address the audience). Is there a general name for these extraneous sketches?

* Why do the Denver Assessor's office have a nice online interface for its records, while the Denver Clerk and Recorder's office, which is just as automated, does not have its grantor-grantee index and file images available online? Both are public records. I suspect it is so that the clerk's office can make us pay 25 cents a page for copies and make title companies pay for bulk downloads to escape that problem. But, I'd surely favor any candidate in the current clerk and recorder's race who would promise to put the grantor-grantee index online.

* Some days, you think humanity is on the right track. Some days, you read the news from Cleveland, Texas (mass child molestation of eleven year old in a small town capture on cell phone video), and you are rather less hopeful. Ironically, the crime of taking the video will probably garner stiffer sentences than the underlying crime itself.

* For reasons mysterious to me, a wave of male enhancement product spam is deluging this blog at the moment, I am trying to review new comments an delete the bad ones a rapidly as I can. I still don't see why it is so hard for regulators to determine who the vendors being advertised are, trace them with sample transactions, and use the vendor records to shut these people down. It really is just a handful of industries that leave the bulk of them, and apparently there are not that many spam purveyors out there comprising the bulk of the traffic. They money trail ought to be auditable. Maybe all those SEC employees who were using government computers to watch porn could do it as a form of community service.

* We are about to celebrate Saint Patrick's Day (indeed, many people did this past weekend), after the man famous for converting the pagans of Ireland to Catholicism. Garrison Keillor's show this weekend (part of the show, apparently originally from 1997 are here) explained why this makes quite a bit more sense than celebrating Saint Olaf's day, something riotously funny to a fellow ex-Lutheran. But, in an era of anti-imperialism and distrust of institutions, why not celebrate Saint Francis of Assisi Day instead? (He has a Saint's Day on October 4, but it isn't all that big a deal.) Perhaps Saint Francis Day could be substituted for ever more controversial Columbus Day (October 12), as a day of Italian-American pride.

* The newspaper comics this weekend also posed the ultimate elementary school boy query for March: In a battle between ancient Romans (associated with the Ides of March) and Lepricauns (associated with Saint Patrick's Day) who would win? The particularly frightening aspect of this query is that there is apparently now a television show devoted to such questions, asking in a recent episode with quasi-scientific rigor, who would win in a fight between the Musketeers and the Manchu warriors (whose ancestors apparently have formed an immigrant community to the north of Denver).

* Also, in hopeful news, the Denver Post has reiterated its support for abolishing or narrowing the scope of the death penalty in Colorado. Narrowing the scope of first degree murder to exclude neo-natal homicide by women in the throes of childbirth and felony murder that does not involve triggermen or people who have solicited a murder would be a good start, and if applied retroactively, would improve the state of the state budget and greatly reduce the ranks of juveniles serving life without parole in the state.

12 March 2011

Republicans Hate Hawaii

The Republican spending plan approved by House Republicans in Congress last month would have cut $126 million in cuts for the National Weather Service that houses the Pacific Tsunami Warniing Center in Hawaii. After all, who needs to know about the weather, it's just God's will.

11 March 2011

NFL Labor Action Heats Up

Professional football players look likely to go on strike, for the first time since 1987, in the wake of the NFL players' union's decertification this afternoon.

After 16 days of mediated talks with the NFL, the sides could not reach agreement on a new deal. The current one expires at the end of Friday, and the league could lock out its players.

By decertifying, the union clears the way for individual players to file antitrust lawsuits against the NFL, which opted out of the [Collective Bargaining Agreement] CBA in 2008. It renounced its right to represent the players in contract bargaining.

The CBA was due to expire a week ago and was extended twice.

The union's latest move sets the stage for a lengthy court fight that could potentially threaten the 2011 season. . . . In 1989, the NFLPA also decertified. Antitrust lawsuits by players forced a new CBA in 1993 that included free agency, and the union formed again that year. . . .

"The parties have not achieved an overall agreement," federal mediator George Cohen said, "nor have they been able to resolve the strongly held competing positions that separated them on core issues.


From here

The steps in the dance are unfamiliar to people who aren't labor lawyers, but the bottom line that negotiations have broken down and that professional football won't resume until a deal is reached, seems pretty clear.

Disaggregating Islam



As the map above illustrates (a somewhat different map that seeks to portray the same data is found here and at odds, for example, on the prevailing Islamic religious tendencies in Sudan), Islam is not monolithic, just as Christianity is not.

The way that Sunni Islam is practiced in Libya is not the same as the way it is practiced in Saudi Arabia, Somalia or Afghanistan, each of which have distinctive elements. The groupings shown above are sometimes called "madhhab" (schools of "jurisprudence," called untranslated "Fiqh") by Muslims. Shi'ite Islam can likewise be disaggregated into distinct branches, and there are other divisions as well.

A Brief Taxonomy Of Islamic Religious Group Divisions

The madhhab shown above in Sunni Islam are the Hanafi, Hanbali, Maliki, and Shafi'i. The branches of Shi'ite Islam shown are the Ismaili, Ja'fari, and the Zaidi. The Ibadi movement in Islam is not strictly Sunni or Shi'ite.

As a first approximation, it may be easiest to describe the madhhab with geolocators.

The Hanafi Sunni Islamic madhhab is the predominant form of Sunni Islam in South Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East (north of Saudi Arabia) and Egypt. It is the largest school of Sunni Islamic jurisprudence.

One of the more important movements, mostly within the Hanafi school, is the Barelvi movement of South Asia:

The Barelvi movement was started in 1880 to defend contemporary traditionalist Islamic beliefs and practices from the criticisms of reformist movements like the Ahl al-ḥadīth (people of hadith). This included a defence of many traditional practices and rites associated with popular Sufism. . . . To its followers the movement is known as Ahle Sunnat wal Jama'at ("People of the traditions of Muhammad and the broad community"), as a means to lay exclusive claim to be the legitimate form of Sunni Islam, in opposition to its reformist rivals like the Deobandi, Ahl al-ḥadīth and Darul-uloom Nadwatul Ulama movements. . . . India Today estimates that the vast majority of Muslims in India adhere to the Barelvi movement, and The Times (UK) writes that a majority of (South Asian) Muslims in the United Kingdom adhere to the movement as well. Similarly, the conservative think tank The Heritage Foundation gives such estimates for the vast majority of Sunni Muslims in Pakistan. . . . The Barelvi movement has taken a stance against Taliban movements in South Asia, organising rallies and protests in India and Pakistan, condemning what they perceive as unjustified sectarian violence.[18] The Sunni United Council (SUC), an amalgamation of eight Sunni organizations, launched the Save Pakistan Movement to stem the process of Talibanisation. Terming the Taliban a product of global anti-Islam conspiracies, the leaders of SUC charged it with playing into the hands of the United States to divide Muslims and bring a bad name to Islam.


The founder of the Barelvi movement "issued fatāwā of apostasy against the founders of the Deobandi, Wahhabism, Shi'i and "Qadiani" (Ahmadiyya) sects of Islam. . . . "Not only did [he] obtain confirmatory signatures from other scholars in the subcontinent, he managed to get agreement from a number of prominent ulama in Mecca. That occurred in the first years of the twentieth century—long before the Al-Saud and their Wahhabi allies got control of the Haramayn. The feat was, nevertheless, stunning. The antipathy of the Deobandis toward the Ahl-i Sunnah on the emotional level becomes more comprehensible when Ahmad Riza's fatwa receives a full explication."

The Barelvi movement's beliefs concerning Muhammad the Prophet's nature parallel those of gnostic Christian views about Christ that emphasize his spiritual being and divinity, rather than his humanity. The fatwa issued by its founder would be on a par with saying that the Pope isn't really a Christian, and might be compared to Martin Luther's posting of his Ninety-five Theses that kicked off the Reformation in Europe.

At the other extreme within the Hanafi school of Islamic jurisprudence is the Deobandi movement:

The movement began at Darul Uloom Deoband (a madrasah) in Deoband, India, where its foundation was laid on 30 May 1866. . . . The Deobandi movement gained significant traction in the early 1900s, mainly due to the activities of its graduates. They, in many instances, played a key role in establishing similar institutions in other parts of the Indian subcontinent. Deobandis are considered to be within the confines of Sunni Islam (Ahl as-Sunnah wa’l-Jamā‘ah). They follow the Ash'ari and Maturidi schools of aqidah (creed). In fiqh (Islamic jurisprudence) they primarily follow the Hanafi school of law while they accept the validity of the remaining three schools of Sunni Islam, namely the Shafi`i, Maliki and the Hanbali schools. In the spiritual science of Tasawwuf (Sufism) they follow the Chishti, Naqshbandi, Qadiri and Suhrawardi orders. Since the 1920s the Deobandi apolitical stance has taken shape in the transnational movement Tablighi Jamaat, but Islamist trends such as those of Pakistan's Jamiatul Ulama-i Islam have also emerged from the ranks of the Deobandis. Deobandi thought, which originated in a north Indian town, has thus reached many countries, such as Pakistan, South Africa and the United Kingdom. According to The Times, about 600 of Britain's nearly 1,400 mosques are run by Deobandi affiliated scholars, and 17 of the country's 26 Islamic seminaries follow Deobandi teachings, producing 80% of all domestically trained Muslim clerics. . . . Deoband has been criticized for a failure to reconcile Islam with modern values. One particular topic which has sparked criticism are fatwas issued by Deobandi clerics regarding the behavior of women in the political and economic spheres. For example, in August, 2005, Deobondi clerics from Darul, Uloom, a Deoband seminary, issued a fatwa stating that while Muslim women may contest political elections, they must observe purdah while doing so. In May 2010, clerics from the same seminary issued a fatwa stating men and women cannot work together in public offices unless the women are properly clothed.


The Tablighi Jamaat are, in more familiar terms, low key, dispositionally puritanical Evangelical Muslims, mostly mission oriented preachers, with a similarly loose level of organization, who go on revival tours originally "in response to Hindu revivalist movements, which were considered a threat to vulnerable and non-practicing Muslims" who favor "personal communication for proselytizing" and de-emphasize formal denominational affiliations. The discourage "social enmeshments in customary and ceremonial rituals" such as elaborate weddings. "In the 1990s and 2000s, sporadic violence resulted from disputes over control of Pakistani mosques between Barelwi and Deobandi."

The Deobandi has faced a scandal somewhat akin to the Catholic indulgences scandal of the Reformation alleging that religious fatwas were bought rather than decided in accordance with Islamic law. Their movement is also notorious as a source of inspiration for many who are involved in Islamic terrorism.

Hanabali is the Sunni Islamic madhhab predominant in Saudi Arabia, and its most distinctive pronouncement, from the view of an outsider, is that women must cover their heads, faces and hands in public. It is the most conservative of the four schools and the one that relies on Hadith the most. It is the smallest of the four major school of Sunni Islamic jurisprudence in terms of numbers of adherents.

The Maliki Sunni Islamic madhhab is associated roughly with areas where Berbers are or were found in North Africa and Southwest Europe; it is also found in the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and in some parts of Saudi Arabia. Many Maliki differences in result on Islamic law are subtle details of prayer practice; methodologically, the Maliki resort to a larger body of precedent and tradition than other schools of Islamic jurisprudence.

The Shafi'i Sunni Islamic madhhab is common in East Africa and in the vicinity of East of South Asia. It is a significant minority school of jurisprudence in South Asia, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. It is most notable for its assertion that Islamic law should not be extended by analogy or legal reasoning beyond its authoritative pronouncements and accepts a fairly narrow set of pronouncements as authoritative; thus, practices that are widely accepted in the Muslim community and not expressly contrary to the Qur'an should not be prohibited by Islamic law.

The Ibadi are most commonly associated with Oman and the island of Zanzibar in Tanzania. While it is not strictly either Sunni or Shi'ite, generally speaking, their doctrines are closer to conservative Sunni Islam, with a somewhat different narrative of the afterlife and a more strongly religiously bolstered division between members and nonmembers. But, they see Islamic leadership succession as having gone awry around the same time as the Shi'ias do (for somewhat different reasons), and share with the Shi'ia similar metaphysical beliefs regarding the creation of the Qur'an.

The branches in Shi'ia Islam reflect groups on different sides of succession disputes (and Shi'ia Islam itself broke with Sunni Islam over a succession dispute), with ideological and practice differences arising incidental to, or as a result of, those splits.

The Ja'fari branch of Shi'ite Islam (sometimes called the "Twelvers" aka Ithnā‘ashariyyah) is predominant in Iran and is the most common form of Islam for Shi'ite minorities, making up about 85% of all Shi'ite Muslims. For them, the last Iman, born in 868 CE, is a messianic figure who has not died and will return with Christ to restore all that is good to the world.

The Alevi of Turkey, are a particularly notable subset of Twelvers who make up more than a third of the population of Turkey and help to explain why Turkish Muslims are so much more liberal than, for example, Egyptian Muslims, on a wide variety of issues.

Alevis are sometimes categorized as part of Twelver Shi'a Islam, and sometimes as its own religious tradition, as it has markedly different philosophy, customs, and rituals. They have many Sufi characteristics and express belief in the Qur'an and the Shi'a Imams, but reject polygamy and accept religious traditions predating Islam, like Turkish shamanism. They are significant in East-Central Turkey. They are sometimes considered a Sufi sect, and have an untraditional form of religious leadership that is not scholarship oriented like other Sunni and Shia groups. They number around 25 million worldwide, of which 22 million are in Turkey, with the rest in the Balkans, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Azerbaijan, Iran and Syria.


The Alevi are arguably the most "liberal" of the Muslim groupings, adhering to principles including: "Humanism, love and respect for all people (“The important thing is not religion, but being a human being”), tolerance towards other religions and ethnic groups (“If you hurt another person, the ritual prayers you have done are counted as worthless”), respect for working people ("The greatest act of worship is to work”), and equality of men and women, who pray side by side."

The Zaidi branch of Shi'ite Islam (sometimes called the "Fivers") is associated with Yemen and bordering parts of Saudi Arabia, and don't recognize the legitimacy of the last seven of the Imans recognized by other Shi'ites.

The Ismaili, the second largest branch of Shi'ite Islam which takes the position that the hereditary chain of succession of Imans remains in tact from the time of the prophet to today, are most common in South Asia (and are also the branch of Islam to which the Druze have the closest historical links). The largest grouping of the Ismaili are the Nizari who see Aga Khan IV as the current successor, and the second most common are the Bohra, found in South Asia and Yemen, whose sects recognize different current non-hereditary spiritual leaders (whom they call the Da'i) due to past succession disagreements, with the predominant group of Bohra recognizing Dr Syedna Mohammed Burhanuddin as the current Da'i. The capacity of Ismaili Muslims to seek guidance from the unifying living spiritual leader of their sect is probably the most pervasive distinction between the Ismaili and other Muslims.

These broad "denominational" type divisions also fail to capture movements with Islam such as the poetic and spiritually oriented Sufi movement, which might be compared loosely to cross-denominational movements like the charismatic movement in Christianity, that are at odds with the subdued and legalistic religious orientation of other Muslims, with the movement called "Wahhabism" and "Salafism" with extends beyond particular jurisprudential schools at the other extreme:

Sufism is a mystical-ascetic form of Islam. By focusing on the more spiritual aspects of religion, Sufis strive to obtain direct experience of God by making use of "intuitive and emotional faculties" that one must be trained to use. Sufis usually considered Sufism to be complementary to orthodox Islam, however it has often been accused of being an unjustified Bid‘ah or religious innovation by the Salafi. One starts with sharia (Islamic law), the exoteric or mundane practice of Islam and then is initiated into the mystical (esoteric path of a Tariqah (Sufi Order). Some Sufi followers consider themselves as Sunni or Shi'a, while others consider themselves as simply 'Sufi' or Sufi-influenced. . . .

Salafism is in general opposed to Sufism and Shi'a Islam, which they regard as heresies. They see their role as a movement to restore Islam from what they perceive to be innovations, superstitions, deviances, heresies and idolatries.

The methodology predominates mainly in countries such as Saudi Arabia, the other Arabian Peninsula states and elsewhere. It has significant numbers of adherents in India and Pakistan where the movement is known as Ahl al-Hadith (People of Hadith). It is also growing in popularity in countries such as those in the western world; in particular the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and in many other countries.


There are multiple different Sufi orders. This form of Islam is very prominent in Pakistan, and is common in Africa, Turkey, historically Islamic Europe (e.g. Albania and Kosovo), Central Asia and South Asia.

Relevance

Politically, the key point is that Islam is not a unified, monolithic world force that will unite against the rest of the world on any points apart from the core Islamic religious doctrines shared by all Muslims like acceptance of the Qur'an as an authoritative and inspired source of religious wisdom.

In Sunni Islam and for Twelvers in Shi'ia Islam, there is not even a living accessible figure comparable to the Pope in Roman Catholicism, or the Daili Lama in Tibetan Buddhism, who is an undisputed supreme spiritual leader unique connection to the divine.

Muslims, of course, have religious leaders in their communities, but in most schools of Islamic thought these leaders of more like Methodist peachers or Rabbis, religious trained community leaders, but nothing more than faithful human beings who have studied hard and made a commitment to devote their lives to religious life, not near divine beings. An important subset of these leaders style themselves as canon lawyers and academics, and securing an opinion from one that you are right on a point of Islam is a bit like finding an economist who agrees with you; it may mean that you have a good basis for your position, but it rarely actually implies that here is a consensus among all Muslims on that point. Other Muslim leaders, particularly in the Sufi tradition, are inspired poetic figures, the sort of person that one might describe as an Islamic Jack Kerouac, whose moving, different way of looking at and describing the world moves listeners to new understandings themselves.

For someone who is interested in making sense of the history that caused the human landscape of the world to appear as it does today, these groupings can show connections that enhance and shed light upon the groups suggested by language and population genetics. Religion is often more strongly conserved than language, and religious scripture and prayers often persist in languages that have otherwise died long ago. Population genetic patterns that match a religious grouping may be explained by the same history that helps explain the religion's geographic expanse.

Recognizing these distinctions also encourages caution when it comes to extrapolating something that seems to have an Islamic religious basis in one place to another where a different version of Islamic practice prevails.

Friday News Dump

In Colorado

* Colorado's unemployment rate in February, of 9.1%, is the highest the state has experienced since the Great Depression and above the national rate of 8.9%. The oil bust of the early 1980s brought the rate to its previous peak of 8.8%. Also, unemployment estimates for Colorado over the last couple of years turn out to have been greatly understated, since the census revealed that the population figures used in making the original unemployment predictions were too low in high unemployment areas. Colorado's record lowest unemployment, since 1976, was at the turn of the millenium when it dropped to a little under 3%.

State officials have blamed migration to Colorado and the decision of many people who have given up looking for work to return to the workforce. Still, the fact that unemployment is climbing, rather than falling, long after the "recovery" in GDP terms has been underway, is discouraging. Unemployment is alawys a lagging indicator, but the employment situation has been worse and longer lived in the current employment recession than any since the Great Depression.

* Despite an immense state budget deficit, House Republicans in Colorado are still proposing large new tax cuts, in excess of $60 million.

* Colorado's proposed state budget will include more cuts to the Fort Logan psychiatric hospital, continuing a trend of decreasing mental health hospital capacity. The current cuts would close a juvenile ward that current houses an average of a dozen inpatients. The Joint Budget Committee argues that private facilities in the state offer the same services at a lower price and can handle another dozen patients.

In Other State Legislatures

* Both houses of Wisconsin's state legislature has passed a bill ending collective bargaining for public sector workers in Wisconsin's state and local governments. Republican Governor Walker has promised to sign the bill, which he championed. Naturally, the bill received voted only from Republicans, and a few Republicans broke ranks to join with Democrats in opposing it. Protests continue in Madison, with farmers set to encicle the state capitol with tractors next. Public opinion in Wisconsin has shifted decisively away from the Republicans and towards President Obama and the public employees unions in Wisconsin as a result of the union fight. Recall efforts are underway targeting a number of legislative anti-union Republicans, although it isn't clear if these will make the ballot or have a realistic chance at succeeding. Similar efforts are making progress in other Republican controlled states.

* The Governor of Illinois signed a bill abolishing the death penalty in that state, appropriating the funds that would have been used for death penalty litigation to a trust for murder victims, and pardoned the fifteen people on death row there. Illinois is the 16th state in the United States to abolish the death penalty.

* Kentucky has joined the list of states addressing state budget shortfalls with sentencing reforms, particularly with milder sentences for non-violent drug users.

Kentucky . . . became the latest to make the shift when Gov. Steve Beshear signed into law a measure increasing spending on rehabilitation programs and intensive drug testing. The law also reduces penalties for many drug offenses and may allow some traffickers and users of smaller amounts of drugs to avoid prison.

Delaware, Florida, Indiana, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania are among those that have pending bills to reduce penalties for drug offenders, in some cases by directing defendants into treatment programs. Similar laws have taken effect in South Carolina, Colorado and New York in recent years. States have maintained stiff penalties for more-serious drug crimes.

While the changes are part of broader belt-tightening efforts, they also reflect a growing belief among state lawmakers that prosecuting drug offenders aggressively often fails to treat their underlying addiction problems and can result in offenders cycling in and out of prisons for years — a critique long voiced by groups that advocate in favor of defendants' rights. . .

The state measures mark a sharp retreat from the war on drugs, which gathered steam in the 1980s and '90s with mandatory-minimum and three-strikes prison sentences that resulted in some drug offenders being locked up for decades. Drug arrests nationwide climbed from about 580,000 in 1980 to about 1.6 million in 2009, according to the Federal Bureau of Investigation.

Although some states started rethinking drug punishment before the recession, many more states have come on board in the past two years. In 2007, Texas began shifting more drug offenders away from prison, which helped hold down the inmate population. The changes cost $241 million, less than half what the state anticipated it would have spent to build three new prisons.


* Ohio's criminal sentencing commission has released a new report on the causes of that state's prison overcrowding problem. According to the report, "recent growth in Ohio’s prison population — even with mandatory sentences and scores of bills that increase penalties for particular offenses — is not driven primarily by intake (although it is a factor). It’s largely fueled by increases in inmates’ average length-of-stay."

* Connecticut voters in a survey favored the decriminalization of marijuana (79% favor medical marijuana and 65% favor decriminalization), legalizing Sunday liquor sales (65%), and reinstating the death penalty (68% up from 59% in 2005 after a high profile murder). But, majorities there don't favor allowing grocery stores to sell wine or liquor. Connecticut currently has a death penalty but its legislature is considering repealing it.

* Connecticut last year joined a list of states that automatically treat some teens under the age of eighteen as adults in the criminal justice process; New Hampshire changed its law in 2008. Similar proposals are pending in Massachusetts, Wisconsin, and North Carolina. The only other state that automatically tries some teens under the age of eighteen as adults is New York State. Budget savings and increased sensitivity to the distinctiveness of juvenile offenders has prompted the changes. For example, a recent study found that:

[I]nmates in adult facilities (surprisingly) give better reports than youth in juvenile facilities on several measures (including criminal activity and victimization), they also fare much worse on other measures. Importantly, the inmates in adult facilities report substantially and significantly greater rates of PTSD and mental illness symptoms, and are much more likely to be afraid for their safety, compared to those in juvenile facilities.


Colorado never had a law that automatically tried older teens under the age of eighteen as adults, but did give prosecutors the authority to directly file many serious criminal charges against older juveniles as adults without court approval; that authority was recently narrowed by Colorado's General Assembly.

* California is building a new death row prison at a projected cost of $356 million, as a partial response to federal prison overcrowding litigation in the state, in which inmates have been successful on the merits, but not seen many results.

California has 713 inmates awaiting execution. . . . By comparison, Florida ranked second, with 398, and Texas was third at 337. . . About 700 condemned men are confined at San Quentin, north of San Francisco, in facilities built to hold 554, according to the Corrections Department’s website. (Nineteen women face execution and are held in Chowchilla, a prison in the Central Valley.) On average, the men are likely to spend 17 years in the aging cell blocks, according to the prison system. . . . Since 1978, when California reinstated capital punishment, 53 condemned inmates have died from natural causes while on death row. Eighteen committed suicide and 13 were executed. Six died from other causes.


Other Domestic News

* Long Island Republican Congressman King has launched hearings in the House Homeland Security Committee into the radicalization of Islam, over objections that this amounts of a McCarthyistic inquiry that is singling out a single religion that may incite further terrorist sentiment against the United States.

* In Skinner v. Switzer, the U.S. Surpeme Court found, in a narrow 6-3 decision, that a Section 1983 civil rights suit by a death row inmate (as opposed to a habeas corpus suit) was not procedurally barred by prison litigation reform statutes. The inmate challenged an interpretation of a Texas law that prevented him from securing post-conviction access to DNA evidence in his muder case that might implicate another suspect (now dead). The court ruled in his favor because DNA testing itself does not necessarily lead to the setting aside of his conviction, as it could show that he is guilty or be inconclusive (and hence is not duplicative of habeas corpus relief), and does not violate the Rooker-Feldman doctrine because while a "state-court decision is not reviewable by lower federal courts . . . a statute or rule governing the decision may be challenged in a federal action"). The ruling also provided yet another case where heightened pleading standards in federal civil litigation were held not to bar a straightforward lawsuit brought by a prisoner.

* Excessive federal child pornography laws continue to produce absurd results:

In the spring and summer of 2006, Eric Rinehart, at the time a 34-year-old police officer in the small town of Middletown, Indiana, began consensual sexual relationships with two young women, ages 16 and 17. One of the women had contacted Rinehart through his MySpace page. He had known the other one, the daughter of a man who was involved in training police officers, for most of her life. Rinehart was going through a divorce at the time. The relationships came to the attention of local authorities, and then federal authorities, when one of the girls mentioned it to a guidance counselor. Whatever you might think of Rinehart's judgment or ethics, his relationships with the girls weren't illegal. The age of consent in Indiana is 16. . . . Rinehart got into legal trouble because one of the girls mentioned to him that she had posed for sexually provocative photos for a previous boyfriend and offered to do the same for Rinehart. Rinehart lent her his camera, which she returned with the promised photos. Rinehart and both girls then took additional photos and at least one video, which he downloaded to his computer.

In 2007 Rinehart was convicted on two federal charges of producing child pornography. U.S. District Court Judge David Hamilton, who now serves on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit, reluctantly sentenced Rinehart to 15 years in prison. Thanks to mandatory minimum sentences, Hamilton wrote, his hands were tied. There is no parole in the federal prison system. So barring an unlikely grant of clemency from the president, Rinehart, who is serving his time at a medium-security prison in Pennsylvania, will have to complete at least 85 percent of his term (assuming time off for good behavior), or nearly 13 years.


* An NPR executive resigned after remarking in a secretly recorded conversation that the Tea Party was full of racists, despite the fact that this is true.

* Oil prices are rising on Mideast turmoil.

* Blockbuster, the dominant player in the storefront video rental market, reached an agreement with its creditors to be auctioned as a business to the highest bidder, rather than having its assets liquidated. Netflix, video on demand, and kiosk video rentals have destroyed its profitability. The chain, which grew dramatically through acquisition of competitors, also probably simply had too many stores for the market's demand and hasn't been able to shutter them fast enough. For example, in Denver at 6th Avenue and Grant Street, it once had two stores less than a block apart - both are now shuttered.

* Department store H&M has decided to open up stores in greater Denver, with the Saks location at the Cherry Creek Mall which is closing likely to be one of them.

Abroad

* Japan has had two major earthquakes in the last week. One was magnitude 7.2 on the Richter scale, and the last night there was an 8.8 magnitude quake that also gave rise to a Tsunami that reached as far as Hawaiii this morning and will be experienced as far off as Peru. The first Japanese quake produced only minimal damage. The current one killed about a hundred people and led to considerable property damage in a few industrial areas mostly from the tsunami waves rather than the earthquake itself. Similar magnitude earthquakes in Iran, Indonesia and Haiti have produced massive loss of life and long term devistation, but Japan's earthquake conscious building codes and better prepared people prevented the damage from being greater. A smaller earthquake in China this weak produced loss of life and property damage comparable to that experienced by last night's massive quake.

* Civil war continues to rage in Libya and France has recognized the rebels as the legitimate government of the country; NATO nations remain reluctant to intervene militarily there. Egyptians will vote on amendments to military proposed amendments its constitution this month to prepare for prompt democratic elections that will transfer power from a military council to civilians. Protestors in Jordan have complained that a new prime minister is stalling on proposals for political reforms, using the fact that the country's 32 political parties are too fragmented to produce quality elections; the main democratic reform that has been demanded is to shift control of the executive branch from the king to a prime minster selected by parliament. Police in a predominantly Shi'ite part of Saudi Arabia shot five protestors at a small demonstration; protests in the absolute monarchy have been muted compared to elsewhere in the region - in part because Saudi Arabia is more repressive and in part because the current Saudi King is popular with majority Sunnis in the country.

* The Daili Lama in Tibet proposed on the anniversary of the day of Tibet's failed 1959 bid to free itself from China, to transfer political power of the government in exile to elected leaders, leaving himself and his successors as spiritual leaders only. Proposed succession to his position is currently unclear as he has also proposed reforms to the traditional approach rooted in the notion that he is reincarnated. China remains officially outraged at any talk of Tibetan independence, or the notion that Taiwan is not part of China. China is also cracking down in an effort to prevent the Jasmine revolution of the Middle East from spreading to it.

Medicine

* A drug to prevent the spread of M.S. has worked in a mouse model. A mouse model of a drug to treat Alzheimer's disease and damage from minor strokes in the brain has also been successful. A new drug to treat lupus has come on the market. Progress has been made in developing a new class of anti-malaria drugs based on a chemotherapy drug.

10 March 2011

Traditional Family Not So Traditional

What did the family look like in the hunter-gatherer days that account for 95% of human history?

Suffice it to say that it wouldn't be a good fit to many urban zoning codes that insist upon single family dwellings.

Because humans lived as foragers for 95% of our species’ history, we analyzed co-residence patterns among 32 present-day foraging societies (total n = 5067 individuals, mean experienced band size = 28.2 adults). We found that hunter-gatherers display a unique social structure where (i) either sex may disperse or remain in their natal group, (ii) adult brothers and sisters often co-reside, and (iii) most individuals in residential groups are genetically unrelated. These patterns produce large interaction networks of unrelated adults and suggest that inclusive fitness cannot explain extensive cooperation in hunter-gatherer bands.

Urheimat

One of my little pet projects is the Wikipedia article entitled Urheimat, for which I am one of the main contributors (particularly for the non-Indo-European languages). The term refers to the homeland in which a language family originated. The article is currently in pretty good shape. The most recent push was to add illustrations and provide more complete references in the footnotes.

It has a capsule summary of the state of what we know about the origins of almost all of the world's main language families. Linguistic isolates whose immediate place of origin is undisputed, but whose deeper origins are the subject of intense dispute, such as Basque, the languages of the Caucusus, and many of the linguistic isolates of the Americas are omitted.

Please take a look.

West Out Of Egypt

About 4000 years ago, the Pharaoh Mentuhotep II sent an expedition to the West from the Nile River Valley via the Dakhla Oasis to Lake Chad.

At the time, this would have been a nicer place to visit:

[T]hey would have a found a land dominated not by desert, but by lakes, vegetation and wildlife.

Scientific studies published in the last few years show that there were two large lakes in the country. One of them, Lake Bodele, was a 91,000 square kilometre water body, making it larger than modern day Lake Superior. To the south there was Lake Chad, at that time a 22,000 square kilometre entity about the size of Lake Erie.
These bodies of water used to be even bigger, at one point they formed one large mega-lake. “At its peak sometime before 7000 years ago the lake was over 173 m deep with an area of at least 400 000 square kilometres, bigger than the Caspian Sea, the biggest lake on Earth today,” writes scientists Nick Drake and Charlie Bristow in a paper.


The journey to the West, which was the direction in which the afterlife was located in Egyptian mythology, included landmarks similar to those described in the land of the dead in Egyptian religious texts, although it isn't the only place to make that claim.

This expedition would have taken place about two thousand years after the domestication of African Sahel crops (which is a likely source of the expansion of the Niger-Congo languages and the population genetics of West Africa), which appeared around 4000 BC when the Sahara was at its wettest.

This expedition would also have taken place close in time to what some archaeology suggests could be the time that sheeps and goats were introduced to sub-Saharan Africa, an event that could plausible be associated with the arrival of the genetically distinct Chadic language speakers into the regions where they are found today, possibly close in time to the arrival of Ethiosemetic peoples into Ethiopia, probably also bringing sheep and goats with them.

I'll recall some observations I made earlier:

The Lake Chad basin is also home to two of the most notable genetic outlier populations in Africa: the Chadic language speakers of North Cameroon, who have a strong element of a Y-DNA haplotype (R1b) most similar to one found mostly in the North Atlantic and Northern Mediterranean, and Fulani language speakers of North Cameroon, who share a Y-DNA haplotype (T) with the Upper Nile basin, Somolia, the Balkans and a swath of Dravidian language speakers in Central and Eastern India. Lake Chad's fluctuations in extent are also believed to be central to the history of the Nilo-Saharan languages.

The Caspian Sea also has fairly little known but important climatalogical history that is important to recent human pre-history. The Caspian was connected to the Aral and Black Seas by water for some part of the period after the Last Glacial Maximum, and there is evidence that its highest and lowest surface levels have varied by 100 meters in relatively recent times. Rock art from around 4000 B.C. in the Caspian Sea depicts boats similar to those found in Egypt at around the same time. There is also evidence of giant stone monument construction there. There also appear to be connections between Caucusian geographical place names and names found in the Egyptian Book of the Dead.


It isn't clear to me if the references alluded to by those seeking a connnection between the Caspian Sea basin and the Book of the Dead, and the Lake Chad basin and the Book of the Dead, are the same passages. Both endorheic basins seem to hide some undiscovered parts of human history.

I'd previously suggested that these genetic outliers might simply have followed the White Nile to its source and then crossed the short divide into the Lake Chad basin but the discovery of a documented expedition around 4000 years ago and an awareness of the greater extent of the lakes in that basin at the time makes a more direct route seem plausible.

Overkill In Drug Sentencing

As a liberal, I generally like to think that there isn't evil in the world, just misguided individuals. Then people like Former Kingfisher County, Oklahoma Judge Susie Pritchett come along and make me think that there really is evil in the world in the persons of people like her abusing the trust that has been placed in them to use their discretion appropriately.





On Dec. 31, 2009, [25-year-old Patricia Marilyn] Spottedcrow and her mother, Delita Starr, 50, sold a “dime bag” of marijuana to a police informant at Starr's home in Kingfisher, court records state. Starr handled the transaction and asked her 9-year-old grandson — Spottedcrow's son — for some dollar bills to make change for the $11 sale. Two weeks later, the same informant returned and bought $20 of marijuana from Spottedcrow.

The two women were arrested for drug distribution and because Spottedcrow's children were in the home, an additional charge of possession of a dangerous substance in the presence of a minor was added. “It just seemed like easy money,” said Spottedcrow, who says she is not a drug user but has smoked marijuana. “I thought we could get some extra money. I've lost everything because of it.”

The women were each offered plea deals of two years in prison. But because neither had prior convictions and the drug amounts were low, they gambled and entered a guilty plea before a judge with no prior sentencing agreement.

Starr received a 30-year suspended sentence with no incarceration, but five years of drug and alcohol assessments. Spottedcrow was sentenced to 10 years in prison for distribution and two years for possession, to run concurrently. She will be up for parole in 2014.... In addition, Starr was fined $8,600 and Spottedcrow $2,740.


From here via the Sentencing Law and Policy blog.

This Oklahoma case illustrates very clearly the insanity of this approach to non-violent drug cases. The case also screams racism in the exercise of discretion in the criminal justice system. Here is how the judge justified this to herself:

Former Kingfisher County Judge Susie Pritchett, who retired in December, said "the women were conducting an extensive operationand included children in the business."

"It was a way of life for them," Pritchett said.

"Considering these circumstances, I thought it was lenient. By not putting the grandmother in prison, she is able to help take care of the children."

A presentencing investigative report prepared by the Department of Corrections rated Spottedcrow's risk of re-offending as "high"and recommended substance abuse treatment while incarcerated.

"It does not appear the defendant is aware that a problem exists or that she needs to make changes in her current behavior."

Spottedcrow was unemployed and without a stable residence when arrested, the report states. The family lost their Oklahoma City home for not paying bills.

"When she needed money this is the avenue she chose rather than finding legitimate employment," the report states. "The defendant does not appear remorseful and she makes justifications for her actions."

Pritchett said on first drug offenses, sentences are usually suspended and may require treatment or random drug tests.

Only if there are other more serious circumstances is a first-time drug offender sent to prison, she said.

"When kids are involved, it's different," Pritchett said.

"This was a drug sale. When I look at someone in front of me, I'm thinking, 'What is it going to take to rehabilitate this person?' We look at their attitude and other factors."

When Spottedcrow was taken to jail after her sentencing, she had marijuana in her jacket. She pleaded guilty to that additional charge Jan. 24 and was sentenced to two years in prison and fined nearly $1,300. That sentence also will run concurrent with her other conviction.


Does the judge actually seriously believe that she's done these kids a favor?

Who is Spottedcrow?

Spottedcrow has four children ages 9, 4, 3 and 1 and is determined to keep her 8-year, common-law marriage intact. "It's been really hard on my husband,"she said. "I know a lot of things can happen, but he'll always have my back and be there."

Her son is aware of what has happened, but the girls have been told their mother is away at college.

"I missed my daughter's fourth birthday, and I'll miss her fifth one too. My other daughter just started talking, and I'm not there to hear her,"Spottedcrow said.

"My baby woke up and doesn't know where her mommy is. This is the hardest thing to do, and know I can't do anything about it. I just have to focus on myself and take it day-to-day and plan for going home. I will want to see my kids at some point. I'm trying to take this slow. I can't get depressed about it."

Quote of the Day

In criminal court, you see bad people at their best; in family court, you see good people at their worst.


From here, unattributed.

There is certainly some truth in it.

09 March 2011

A Strong CP Problem Conjecture

The Strong CP Problem Stated

The idea behind parity symmetry is that the equations of particle physics are invariant under mirror inversion. This leads to the prediction that the mirror image of a reaction (such as a chemical reaction or radioactive decay) occurs at the same rate as the original reaction. Parity symmetry appears to be valid for all reactions involving electromagnetism and strong interactions. . . . The first test based on beta decay of Cobalt-60 nuclei was carried out in 1956 by a group led by Chien-Shiung Wu, and demonstrated conclusively that weak interactions violate the P symmetry or, as the analogy goes, some reactions did not occur as often as their mirror image. . . . charge conjugation is a simple symmetry between particles and antiparticles, and so CP-symmetry was proposed in 1957 by Lev Landau as the true symmetry between matter and antimatter. In other words a process in which all particles are exchanged with their antiparticles was assumed to be equivalent to the mirror image of the original process.

In 1964, James Cronin, Val Fitch with coworkers provided clear evidence (which was first announced at the 12th ICHEP conference in Dubna) that CP-symmetry could be broken, too, winning them the 1980 Nobel Prize. This discovery showed that weak interactions violate not only the charge-conjugation symmetry C between particles and antiparticles and the P or parity, but also their combination. The discovery shocked particle physics and opened the door to questions still at the core of particle physics and of cosmology today. The lack of an exact CP-symmetry, but also the fact that it is so nearly a symmetry, created a great puzzle.

Only a weaker version of the symmetry could be preserved by physical phenomena, which was CPT symmetry. Besides C and P, there is a third operation, time reversal (T), which corresponds to reversal of motion. Invariance under time reversal implies that whenever a motion is allowed by the laws of physics, the reversed motion is also an allowed one. The combination of CPT is thought to constitute an exact symmetry of all types of fundamental interactions. Because of the CPT symmetry, a violation of the CP-symmetry is equivalent to a violation of the T symmetry. CP violation implied nonconservation of T, provided that the long-held CPT theorem was valid. In this theorem, regarded as one of the basic principles of quantum field theory, charge conjugation, parity, and time reversal are applied together. . . .

In particle physics, the strong CP problem is the puzzling question why quantum chromodynamics (QCD) does not seem to break the CP-symmetry.

QCD does not violate the CP-symmetry as easily as the electroweak theory; unlike the electroweak theory in which the gauge fields couple to chiral currents constructed from the fermionic fields, the gluons couple to vector currents. Experiments do not indicate any CP violation in the QCD sector. For example, a generic CP violation in the strongly interacting sector would create the electric dipole moment of the neutron which would be comparable to 10−18 e·m while the experimental upper bound is roughly a trillion times smaller.

This is a problem because at the end, there are natural terms in the QCD Lagrangian that are able to break the CP-symmetry.



For a nonzero choice of the θ angle and the chiral quark mass phase θ′ one expects the CP-symmetry to be violated. One usually assumes that the chiral quark mass phase can be converted to a contribution to the total effective angle, but it remains to be explained why this angle is extremely small instead of being of order one; the particular value of the θ angle that must be very close to zero (in this case) is an example of a fine-tuning problem in physics, and is typically solved by physics beyond the Standard Model.

There are several proposed solutions to solve the strong CP problem. The most well-known is Peccei-Quinn theory, involving new scalar particles called axions. A newer, more radical approach not requiring the axion is a theory involving two time dimensions first proposed in 1998 by Bars, Deliduman, and Andreev.

Also, strong CP problem may be solved in one of quantum gravity theories.


From Wikipedia (emphasis added, references omitted) (see also, for example, here and here).

There are no charge parity symmetry violations, which are equivalent to time symmetry violations (i.e. the physical laws involved have an arrow of time), that have been empirically discovered in the strong nuclear force, the electromagnetic force, or gravity. All observed CP violations involve the weak nuclear force.

This isn't terribly surprising for the electromagnetic force or gravity, neither of which has any equations that contain a natural term which would lead to CP violations. But, it is more surprising in the case of the strong force, because it has such terms. As of 2008, Lattice QCD efforts had not resolved this problem.

The Conjecture: the Strong CP problem is due to the gluon's lack of mass

My personal conjecture is that the strong CP problem can be explained by the mass of the force carrying bosons involved, although why particular bosons have the masses that they do, of course, like all of the other masses in the Standard Model, is a mystery. What follows is a statement of this conjecture which I do not claim as anything but my own and I am not attempting to state is a scientifically authoritative statement of an expert. Instead, it is a speculation of an educated layman, although I would like to think that this speculation is grounded enough to be something other than a totally crackpot idea, at least at a heuristic level, even if it may, in fact, be flawed in some respect.

The electromagnetic force is carried by the massless, spin one particle called the photon, which travels at the speed of light. Indeed, special relativity implies that massless particles must always travel at the speed of light. As Wikipedia explains in its article on special relativity.

For massless particles, m is zero. The relativistic energy-momentum equation still holds, however, and by substituting m with 0, the relation E = pc is obtained; when substituted into Ev = c2p, it gives v = c: massless particles (such as photons) always travel at the speed of light.

A particle which has no rest mass (for example, a photon) can nevertheless contribute to the total invariant mass of a system, since some or all of its momentum is cancelled by another particle, causing a contribution to the system's invariant mass due to the photon's energy. For single photons this does not happen, since the energy and momentum terms exactly cancel.


Likewise, special relativity implies that massive particles can never travel at the speed of light.

The gluons of the strong force are also canonically massless spin one particles, but instead of interacting only with charged particles, like photons, they interact only with particles that have color charge (i.e. quarks and other gluons), which comes in types called red, green and blue, rather than the electromagnetic force's positive or negative.

In extensions of the Standard Model in which gravity is also a force with a mediating boson, this force is carried by a massless, spin two particle called the graviton, which interacts with matter-energy (in general relativity (and unlike classical Newtonian gravity), massless energetic particles, like photons are affected by gravity, not just massive particles.

Thus, the carrier bosons of all of the forces that do no exhibit CP symmetry violations, which are equivalent to T symmetry violations, travel at the speed of light.

In contrast, the weak force, which does exhibit CP violations, which are equivalent to T violations, are the W+, the W- and the Z particle, the former having masses of about 80 MeV and the latter having a mass of about 91 MeV, and hence, as a result of special relativity (which unlike general relativity, is integrated seamlessly with quantum mechanics), these massive, spin 1 carrier bosons do not travel at the speed of light.

Why should this matter? Because, special relativity provides that the rate at which time passes for a particle is a function of its velocity as a fraction of the speed of light. The faster a particle moves, the slower time passes for it. For example (per Wikipedia on special relativity): "Time dilation explains a number of physical phenomena; for example, the decay rate of muons produced by cosmic rays impinging on the Earth's atmosphere."

In the limiting case, where something is traveling at the speed of light, special relativity implies that time stops moving in its frame of reference. From the point of view of an observer inside a photon, gluon, or hypothetical graviton, its departure and arrival take place at precisely the same moment in time.

So, why do electromagnetism, the strong force and gravity all obey time symmetry?

Because their carrier bosons are massless and do not experience time. One can't violate time symmetry, I propose, in an event that does not take place, within the frame of reference of the carrier particle, over a period of time and is instead, instantaneous in that frame of reference. In contrast, the weak force has a carrier boson which is massive and thus does experience time, so it may violate time symmetry. It experiences the difference between before and after and thus has the capacity to treat them differently.

When could the CP violating term of the QCD Lagrangian matter?

Why would the QCD Lagrangian's natural form have a CP violating term at all then?

One possibility is that while the spin one gluon, which is a massless boson and carries the strong force is massless, that integer spin glueballs, which are massive composite bosons composed of entirely of gluons experience time, and hence could conceivably be time symmetry violating.

Unlike photons, which when they collide simply make a more energetic massless photon rather than interacting electromagnetically since they are not themselves electrically charged, gluons are self-interacting because they themselves have color charge (two colors per gluon, rather than the single color of quarks), so composite gluons, called glueballs are theoretically expected. This self-interaction is also not merely a curiosity, it is the main thing that makes the mathematics of QCD calculations so much profoundly more complicated than QED calculations, and is what makes it a non-abelian gauge theory, and gives rise to both the asymptotic freedom at short distances and the confinement of quarks at greater distances, that are the main practical implications of QCD. (An in depth treatment of glueballs from a 2007 thesis can be found here.)

Glueballs are theoretically predicted in low energy QCD systems, in which they remain confined and not subject to easy direct observation, and are massive. Their existence is inferred from lattice approximations of the QCD equations and are also motivated by a modest number of suggestive particle accelerator observations. Multiple different lattice QCD researchers attempting to approximate the same underlying Yang-Mills QCD equations of the Standard Model in different ways have independently confirmed the theoretical prediction of various types of massive glueballs and have reached reasonably consistent inferences about their masses.

But, glueballs have never been definitively observed experimentally (although there have been some suggestive data to indicate their detection) and aren't succeptible to observation by anything nearly as straightforward as the high energy atom smashing environment (or the high energy quark-gluon plasma environment) in which we observe QCD in the high energy limit. As Wikipedia, on the subject of glueballs, explains: "Glueballs are extremely difficult to identify in particle accelerators, because they mix with ordinary meson states. Theoretical calculations show that glueballs should exist at energy ranges accessible with current collider technology. However, due to the aforementioned difficulty, they have (as of 2011) so far not been observed and identified with certainty." The GlueX experiment at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab) accelerator, which starts in 2014, is designed to directly observe glueballs and exotic mesons, tetraquarks, and hybrid mesons (made up of both one or more gluons and two or more quarks).

As an aside, "normal" mesons are "composed of one quark and one antiquark." One of the main accomplishments of quark theory was to systematize from five components, in three color variants, and their antiparticles, 52 kinds of normal mesons (quark-anti-quark combinations),, and the 150 kinds of baryons (three quark combinations), most of which, but not all of which, have been observed experimentally, counting antiparticles separately, but excluding parity distinctions and excluding theoretically imaginable combinations involving top quarks, as top quarks appear to decay too quickly to form mesons or baryons. Of the 202 combinations in the Standard Model, only one, the proton, is stable, and only one more, the neutron, which has a mean lifetime of 14 minutes and 46 seconds, has a mean lifetime of more than 5x10^-8 seconds (about twenty millionths of a second), and the vast majority are much more short lived.

Still, it isn't unreasonable, given the natural form of the QCD Lagrangian and the sensitivity of the strong force to chirality (despite the fact that it observes parity symmetry in all experiments conducted to date), to hypothesize that QCD may exibit CP violations in the low energy limit in cases involving massive glueballs that are not present in high energy systems where gluons are massless and hence timeless, if glueballs are carriers of the strong nuclear force when they combine into these composite particles.

On the other hand, if glueballs cease to fulfill the strong nuclear force carrier role filled by individual gluons when they form composite particles, then CP violations would be absent from QCD, because it would have no massive force carriers.

I don't understand QCD well enough to know if gluons within composite force carriers can carry the strong nuclear force, but my understanding is that QCD theorists do, so determining if CP violations in low energy glueball systems if my hypothesis is correct should be a relativity straightforward matter.

Assuming that there is a distinction, I'm also not entirely clear how one would modify the equations of QCD to distinguish between those where CP violating terms are non-physical, because the strong nuclear force is carried by a massless gluon, such as the case of strong nuclear force interactions that could give rise to an electric dipole moment in the neutron, and those where CP violating terms would be physical because the strong nuclear force itneractions are carried by a massive boson such as composite glueball.

I am, of course, not the first person to suggest that glueballs might be theta dependent, and hence CP violating (and more obliquely here and here). Others scientists note that the QCD Lagrangian itself has been modified since it was originally proposed, and given that the experimental bounds on QCD are only on the order of a single digit percentage, it is entirely possible that it may need to be modified further in subtle ways in the future.

08 March 2011

Standard Model Still Probably Broken

The continues to be strong evidence that the Standard Model theory prediction for CP violations with higher generation fermions is deeply off the mark and the Standard Model is missing something important.

Either that, or our approximations of the QCD background against which these predictions are being made is off. We have what we believe to be the perfectly accurate equations of the strong force and reasonably accurate determinations of all of its constants, but we aren't able to solve the math in particular situations exactly with nice clean equations - we have to either approximate the results using the early terms of an infinite series approximation that doesn't converge very quickly, or or approximate the results by making exact calculations using a model in which space-time is lumpier than it is in real life (i.e. using chunks much larger than the Plank distance) called Lattice QCD.

It is also worth noting at this point that QCD equations actually have a term which could introduce CP violations via the strong force, rather than the weak force interactions measured in the results mentioend above. But, all experimental evidence to date has failed to find a strong force CP violation, implying that the constant by which that QCD term is multiplied is probably zero.

QCD equations have thus far been calculated to low single digit percentage accuracy, which while not great, should be sufficient in the experiements showing unexpectedly large CP violations in top-antitop quark pair production (which are on the order of forty something percent off from the expected value), unless CP violations (which are equivalent to time symmetry violations) are especially sensitive to the approximation method used.

Assuming that this is more than a flaw in the QCD calculations, the exciting question is what LHC will tell us about the beyond the Standard Model new physics that apparently exist.

* * * *

One place we are unlikely to find fault with current theories is Lorentz Invariance, which was proved in 2002 (a beautiful result) to be equivalent with some very minimal assumptions (the lack of negative energy in the universe is probably the most notable), to the proposition that CPT violations do not exist:

[T]he Fermi satellite has shown that the Lorentz violation even at the Planck scale must be much smaller than O(100%). . .. the Lorentz violation at the Planck scale - by the 1/M_{Pl} operators - has to be smaller than 85 x 10^{-15}: the key symmetry is more accurate than a part per trillion.


Other than Planck's constant itself, there is pretty much no other proposition in physics that has been confirmed experimentally at anything close to the Planck scale. Prior experimental efforts to constrain the scale of any such violations as of 2008 is found here.

The Lorentz invariance principle basically holds that activities within a lab with respect to each other are not influenced by the orientation of the lab or its motion with respect to anything else in the universe. Thus, while there is definitely an arrow of time in some quantum pheneomena, with the laws not producing identical results when run forward and backward in time, the way that this difference plays out is extremely well constrained by CPT symmetry.

* * * *

Marco Frasca of Gauge Connection blog fame also has a paper updated as of December 2010 which argues that if "mass generation for Yang-Mills theory" (which is the theory underlying QCD, the quantum field theory of the strong force), is "the same in QCD as in the Standard Model, this implies that Higgs particle must be supersymmetric." Like all papers in physics, the mere fact that a pre-print has been found on arxiv does not mean that the conclusion is true, peer review could reveal flaw, for example, and a considerable number of assumptions go into it as well. But, deriving supersymmetry from the Standard Model itself with only very minimal assumptions (primarily that QCD and other parts of the Standard Model generate mass in the same way) is impressive.

On the other hand, the paper really only dervives a toy model of a realistic SUSY theory: "this mechanism, per se, is able to give to all the particles of the theory an identical mass while the coupling are also properly fixed. So, mass differences can only be understood through the mechanism that eventually breaks supersymmetry." The general line of reasoning in the paper appears to be part of the same research program as Walking Technicolor (see also here and here), and arriving at a conclusion that looks remarkably like Technicolor competitor for beyond the Standard Model physics, SUSY.

* * *

Finally, new measurements of neutrino masses are suggesting that what we used to think of as "anti-neutrinos" may in fact be something quite different called "mirror neutrinos." This interpretation avoids a CPT violation associated with the fact that what we used to think we anti-neutrinos have a slightly different mass than mirror neutrinos, despite the fact that at first, after "the release of the MINOS results, many theorists were wondering about the possibility of CPT violation in the neutrino sector." This is interesting too:

The MINOS experiment has observed distinct masses for neutrinos and the so called antineutrinos, which we now call mirror neutrinos. In preliminary results released in 2010, MINOS claim that the total difference in masses squared for neutrinos is around 0.00232 eV2, while for mirror neutrinos it is 0.00336 eV2. Given our new mirror particle zoo, can we say anything about these numbers?

The ordinary neutrinos come in three possible mass states. In 2006, Carl Brannen fitted these three masses to a simple formula, resembling the Koide formula for the three charged lepton masses. First discovered by Yoshio Koide in 1981, this exact relation between the masses of the electron, muon and tau particles was used to predict the tau mass from the more accurately known electron and muon masses. The prediction was correct, and the formula remains in agreement with experimental results. Brannen’s prediction for the neutrino masses was based on the observation that the Koide formula is expressed in terms of a certain matrix . . .[derived from a mathematical manipulation of the] square roots of the three masses. . . . [related to] two elementary Pauli spin operators. The neutrino scale is selected so that the sum of mass squares is around 0.00232 eV2, as observed. Ignoring the choice of mass units, there are two remaining parameters in the neutrino matrix. One parameter is identical to the charged lepton case. The single remaining parameter appears to differ from the charged lepton case by π/12. That is, there is a complex phase parameter of exp(2i/9) for the charged leptons, and exp(2i/9+ πi/12) for the neutrinos. . . . For the equal mass charged leptons and antileptons, the phases exp(±2i/9) give equal masses. . . . The neutrino phase now has two sign components, so we may double the allowed mass sets for the neutral particles by choosing a sign mismatch, as in exp(2i/9- πi/12). With this phase, at the same scale as the neutrinos, the difference of mass squares for the mirror neutrinos is around 0.00336 eV2, as observed.

The mirror mass prediction corresponding to the lightest neutrino mass is now 0.00117 eV. . . . the thermal equivalent of 0.00117 eV under the law for black body radiation is 2.73K, which is precisely the temperature of the cosmic microwave background.


The mass formula in turn, has roots in a 2005 preon theory in which "Bilson-Thompson proposed to map the first Standard Model generation (and the gauge bosons) onto three-strand braids. . . . Bilson-Thompson did not use all possible braids, and under ]post author] Sheppeard’s mapping (of braids to matrices) the unused braids are assigned specific quantum numbers, including their mass. The “mirror neutrino” with a mass of 0.00117 eV corresponds to one of these unused braids."

It turns out that there are some empty places in the lepton family tree for mirror neutrinos to fit nicely into.

As always, the interpretations are somewhat speculative. The author's blog exploring these ideas is here.

* * * *

This is pretty amazing stuff.

As I noted in earlier posts, we are discovering that the Standard Model QCD equations predict a massive spin zero particle called a glueball whose mass declines as a gains momentum (the formula is apparently m^2+cp^2 where c is the speed of light and p is momentum), that you've never heard of in low energy settings.

Also, apparently, what we used to think were anti-neutrinos are really something else entirely, called mirror neutrinos, with a mass different in a very systemic way from the mass of regular neutrinos, the lightest of which has a mass the corresponds to the temperature of the cosmic microwave background radiation. This is particularly notable because discovering that neutrinos had mass was something that the Standard Model didn't provide for at the time that this was discovered and I'm not aware of mainstream physics models that call for mirror neutrinos with masses different from regular neutrinos at all, despite the fact that we not only observe them but have a neat little formula to predict their masses.

Incidentally, we've also developed formulas that theoretically predict the relationship of the masses of different flavors of electrons, different flavors of neutrinos and different flavors of mirror neutrinos to each other.

And, we've found increasingly strong evidence that CPT symmetry and Lorentz Invariance are absolute rules of physics.

And, we have observed large deviations from the Standard Model involving CP violations in systems of particles involving top quarks.

And, we have found hints at something like SUSY in one of the equations of the Standard Model itself.

All of these results, by the way, are results independent of LHC results.