19 January 2017

Zillow Values White House

According to Zillow, what is the White House worth?
1600 Pennsylvania Ave NW, Washington, DC 20006
16 beds, 35 baths, 55,000 sq. ft  
OFF MARKET Zestimate®: $445,259,914
Quite a deal at $445 million. Then again, the person taking occupancy tomorrow at noon apparently thinks that it isn't adequate for his family's needs, so maybe it is overvalued.

Microsoft Engineer Patents Easier To Misplace Cell Phone

If you are like me and most of my friends, family members and associates, you frequently misplace your mobile phone. 

But, Microsoft's lead engineer apparently thinks that a mobile phone with four magnetically connected pieces, any one of which you could misplace rendering the whole a brick, could amplify this problem. This would lead to the happy result that people would need to buy more mobile phones resulting in massive new revenue streams in an industry whose products, if they are not called "iPhones", have slim profit margins. 
Microsoft's lead mechanical engineer has patented a foldable phone – 2x1 or 3x1 pieces. Here's an improvement: a 2x2 with four foldable pieces. A fuzzy picture worth millions of dollars and TRF readers can have it for free. The quarters of the foldable phablet look like 4-inch phones of thickness 5 mm, but this beast of total thickness 2 cm may be expanded to an 8-inch thin tablet-phone. The upper half of the vertical separating axis is cut, and those parts may be stuck together with magnets. The lower part of the vertical separator is connected by hinges near the display. The beast may also be folded around the horizontal axis near the middle, with hinges on the back side. When you pack your phone into the 4-inch thick friend, the two upper quarters of the display appear on the external sides of the thick phone and may be used as displays of the 4-inch phone on both sides.
From here.

Cyborgs Are Now

A customizable soft robot that fits around a heart and helps it beat has now been developed by researchers, potentially opening new treatment options for people suffering from heart failure.
From here.

Fighting For The Right To Collect Zombie Debt

Debt collection firms are fighting hard in the U.S. Supreme Court for the right to collect claims in bankruptcy that are barred by the statute of limitations and otherwise invalid. My view is that the proprietors of these firms should be going to jail, not profiting to the tune of millions of dollars.

18 January 2017

My Wife Is Trying To Make My Life Miserable . . . She's Basically Violating The Iowa Constitution

 A man who represents himself in court has fool for a lawyer.
Tim [Le] argues, “The Petitioner is trying to make my life miserable taking away my rights of enjoying and defending life and liberty, acquiring, possessing and protecting property, and pursuing and obtaining safety and happiness. She’s basically violating the Iowa Constitution.” Generally, the appellant’s “random mention of an issue, without analysis, argument or supporting authority is insufficient to prompt an appellate court’s consideration.” Moreover, an issue not presented to the district court cannot be decided for the first time on appeal. Tim did not present this issue to the district court. Thus, we find the issue of whether Annie is violating the Iowa Constitution by trying to make Tim’s life miserable is not properly before this court. 
The Iowa Constitution, like that of many states, begins with a provision that “All men are, by nature, free and equal, and have certain inalienable rights — among which are those of enjoying and defending life and liberty, acquiring, possessing and protecting property, and pursuing and obtaining safety and happiness.”
Via Volokh Conspiracy.

17 January 2017

Cutting Edge Educational Technology In Mathematics And Theoretical Physics

Coverage of the important topic of blackboards is to be found here. To those ill-informed sorts who think that blackboards are the past, whiteboards or some other technology the future, I’ll point out the following. When I came to Columbia back in 1989, there was a recently installed modest-sized whiteboard in the math department common room. Everyone hated it, and after many years it was replaced by a similar-sized blackboard. Last year, in a renovation of the lounge, that blackboard was replaced by a better one, and one whole wall of the room was replaced by a floor-to-ceiling blackboard. A year or so ago, a newly renovated Theory Center was unveiled here in the Physics department: floor-to-ceiling, wall-to-wall blackboards. That’s the future, the whiteboard is the past.
From Not Even Wrong

Incidentally, the linked material notes that chemists, unlike mathematicians and physicists, prefer whiteboards.

16 January 2017

Quote Of The Day

I thought about my last birthday party and decided that despite the ice sculptures, and the champagne fountain, and the giant cake shaped like Thorne Abbey, I preferred Skee-Ball and a guy in a giant rat suit.
- "Demonglass", Rachel Hawkins.

Notable, because an almost identical sentiment was expressed in a recent college application essay from our household.

15 January 2017

Deregulation Is Not The Solution To Better Medical Care

Despite the widespread belief that government regulation holds back progress in medical care, the historical evidence overwhelmingly suggests otherwise. 
Nutritional and herbal supplements are barely regulated at all: so by this argument there should be all kinds of medical progress stemming from that area. But it hasn’t happened. supplements are mostly useless, yet people buy them anyhow. There’s very little regulation of medical developments in third world countries – why aren’t they a a fount of medical progress? . . .
In 1900, few of the drugs in the pharmocopoeia actually worked. . . . Why did they have customers? Why did doctors even exist? Why did literally thousands of years of low regulation result in almost no progress? The Roman Empire had low marginal tax rates too, and good security of private property most of the time – why so little progress? . . .  
Nobody regulated psychologists, so the free market scotched Freudian analysis – in your dreams.
Mostly, this appears to be because consumers are woefully incapable of distinguishing between effective and ineffective medical treatments. Bureaucracies, in contrast, are much more capable of evaluating these questions.

08 January 2017

Quote Of The Day

[W]e should not be paralyzed by a dystopian vision of the future – worrying about killer AI and super-intelligent robots, which is like worrying about overcrowding on Mars.
- Garry Kasparov (first world grandmaster at chess to lose to a computer).

Most Americans Have Made No Economic Progress For A Generation

When it comes to income growth, the United States is nothing like Lake Woebegone. About 90% of Americans are below average.

Labor income growth has been zero for the bottom 50% since 1980 and has been zero for the median man in the U.S. since 1962!  Women's median income from labor increased 9-fold from 1962 to 2000, but has been flat from 2000 to the present (the data set only goes to 2014, so this is 14 years of documented flat income).

For those in the next 40% of the income distribution, income has increased an average of 1% per year since 1980.

Those at the top, meanwhile, have prospered with the richest gaining the most.
This paper combines tax, survey, and national accounts data to estimate the distribution of national income in the United States since 1913. Our distributional national accounts capture 100% of national income, allowing us to compute growth rates for each quantile of the income distribution consistent with macroeconomic growth. We estimate the distribution of both pre-tax and post-tax income, making it possible to provide a comprehensive view of how government redistribution affects inequality. Average pre-tax national income per adult has increased 60% since 1980, but we find that it has stagnated for the bottom 50% of the distribution at about $16,000 a year. The pre-tax income of the middle class—adults between the median and the 90th percentile—has grown 40% since 1980, faster than what tax and survey data suggest, due in particular to the rise of tax-exempt fringe benefits. Income has boomed at the top: in 1980, top 1% adults earned on average 27 times more than bottom 50% adults, while they earn 81 times more today. The upsurge of top incomes was first a labor income phenomenon but has mostly been a capital income phenomenon since 2000. The government has offset only a small fraction of the increase in inequality. The reduction of the gender gap in earnings has mitigated the increase in inequality among adults. The share of women, however, falls steeply as one moves up the labor income distribution, and is only 11% in the top 0.1% today.
Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman, "Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States" NBER Working Paper No. 22945 (December 2016).

06 January 2017

Impressions From Mexico

I'm back after a vacation in the Puerto Vallarta area of Mexico in the Mexican states of Jalisco and Nayarit. Seeing new places always brings new insights, so here are some of my impressions:

Urban Planning


One of the most striking aspects of the cities I visited is that there is no visible sign of any zoning or land use regulation. Industrial facilities, hospitals, shops, warehouses, farms, zoos, car repair or car part stores, auto dealerships, restaurants, real estate offices, schools, markets, notary offices, police stations, hotels, adult clubs and so on are cheek by jowl. Shops and restaurants in primarily residential neighborhoods, sometimes operated out of a garage or residence, seem to be common.

There is also none of the enforced tidiness seen in towns that strictly enforce local ordinances on subjects like weed control or public rubbish piles, or the equivalent enforced by home owner's associations. There is a high tolerance for visual messiness.

There is also a strong indication that people do not trust government law enforcement to provide sufficient private safety. There are lots of private security guards. Most shops are closed with metal curtains when they are not open.  Most homes seem to be built in walled complexes with razor wire or spikes atop the walls with only slight attention paid to the exterior appearance and a focus on creating beautiful private interior spaces.

The Real Estate Market

The recent formal legalization of foreign direct real property ownership has spurred lots of for sale signs and real estate offices, but seemingly not very inflated real estate prices and not a lot of real estate sales activity. There is also surprisingly little development and construction activity for an urbanized area of this size, with many undeveloped vacant lots available in prime locations listed for sale, and lots of spaces available for rent at pretty modest rents.

Water and Plumbing

Storm sewers routinely empty, unfiltered onto the beach and into the sea.

Outside the resorts, tap water quality is dubious and almost everyone drinks bottled water in the places that I observed. No restaurants provide free water with a meal. Free public toilets are also pretty much entirely absent. 

Water and sewage service would almost always be a local government function in  the U.S., and is pervasively done poorly in all but a few isolated pockets of Mexico.

Traffic and Transportation

There are no crossing light controlled cross-walks there, and traffic laws (while not ignored) are often taken to be guidelines. Ambulances, fire trucks, and municipal police officers get no respect in traffic. People are routinely carried in the back of pickup trucks, both privately and for fares.

There is a high volume of bus service that isn't pretty but very competitive and inexpensive. It is arguably the most vigorously hustling industry in the area. Local bus services appear to be operated by municipal license rather than by a governmental entity. Per Wikipedia:
Puerto Vallarta is serviced by three municipal bus unions that provide coverage for most of the greater Puerto Vallarta area (e.g. Ixtapa, Mismaloya, Pitillal). Most of the population of the Municipality of Puerto Vallarta travels by municipal bus. Automobile ownership is not rare, but cars are seldom used to commute to and from work. They are typically reserved for family outings and major shopping trips. Parking in Puerto Vallarta is scarce, and this makes automobile commuting impractical. 
Throughout the central area of the city and along the coastal strip, roads are generally paved, often with cobblestones. In the residential areas outside of the central commercial area dirt roads are the norm, and many of them are in poor condition and not suitable for normal cars except at very low speeds. 
The city is also served by a large fleet of taxis. Rates are controlled by a taxi driver's union, and set in negotiations between the union and the city. Rates are based on established zones rather than using taxi meters.
It could be that Puerto Vallarta is at a localized advantage here, because the urbanized area doesn't go very far inland, allowing most areas to be served with a pretty much a handful of one dimensional routes serving strips of the coast at a couple of levels inland.

Services v. Things

Many aspects of the local economy appear to arise from a much lower cost of services relative to goods than in the United States.

Indeed, overall prices for most retail good and services run about half the price of comparable goods and services in the U.S. although it is hard to know how much of that is due to temporarily favorable exchange rates (the dollar buys about 50% more Mexican pesos than it did just 2 years ago) and how much is due to a lower cost of living. I suspect that both factors are at work.

* Veterinarians make house calls.

* Resorts are heavily staffed compared to comparable U.S. establishments with maids, people delivering drinks, landscapers, and so on.

* Bus service is cheap and thriving, which may be a product of bus driver's being paid less, because bus drivers and not buses are the main cost of a bus system. (Buses running full are also incredibly fuel efficient vis-a-vis even extremely fuel efficient single occupancy or single family occupancy vehicles.)

* Taxi service is cheap. We got a cab from just outside the formal pickup area of the airport to a resort downtown for the equivalent of $5 U.S. Another 40 minute taxi trip from a house where I was staying in Nayarit state, directly to the airport, was $15; a comparable trip in Denver would cost $67-$75.

* It is apparently economically profitable to have someone man even very marginal shops with very little business.

* Many people are employed walking up and down beaches and in other public areas hawking trinkets or gifts of all kinds.

* Many low level retail salespersons have the authority to haggle over prices. This is rare in the U.S., in part, because low paid retail sales employees on hourly wages can't be trusted with this responsibility. You see little haggling in retail sales in the U.S. below the price threshold of an automobile, outside DIY sales of used goods where there are no agency issues.

* Per Wikipedia: "Residents of the United States, particularly those living near the Mexican border, now routinely cross the border into Mexico for medical care. Popular specialties include dentistry and plastic surgery. Mexican dentists often charge 20 to 25 percent of U.S. prices,while other procedures typically cost a third what they would cost in the US."

Innovations

* An interesting practice I observed in fast food was to serve food on a non-disposable plate covered with a plastic bag. When you are done, you discard the bag, but return the clean non-disposable plate.

Healthcare

Per Wikipedia:
Healthcare in Mexico is provided via public institutions, private entities, or private physicians. Healthcare delivered through private organizations operates entirely on the free-market system, i.e., it is available to those who can afford it. This is also the case of healthcare obtained from private physicians at their private office or clinic. Public healthcare delivery, on the other hand, is accomplished via an elaborate provisioning and delivery system put in place by the Mexican Federal Government. In 2012, Mexico instituted universal healthcare. . . . 
While private hospitals account for 2/3 of all hospitals in Mexico with 2,988 institutions, less than 10% of the Mexican population has private insurance coverage, paying for care mainly "out of pocket" . . .
Public Healthcare delivery is accomplished via an elaborate provisioning and delivery system instituted by the Mexican Federal Government. It is provided to all Mexican citizens as guaranteed via Article 4 of the Constitution. Public care is either fully or partially subsidized by the federal government, depending upon the person's (Spanish: derechohabiente) employment status. All Mexican citizens are eligible for subsidized healthcare regardless of their work status via a system of health care facilities operating under the federal Secretariat of Health (formerly the Secretariat de Salubridad y Asistencia, or SSA) agency. 
The Secretariat of Health's Seguro Popular offers coverage to Mexicans who do not have formal employment. The program currently covers over 55 million people. 
Employed citizens and their dependents, however, are further eligible to use the program administered and operated by the Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS) (English: Mexican Social Security Institute). The IMSS program is a tripartite system funded equally by the employee, the private employer, and the federal government. There are 58 million people covered through IMSS. 
The IMSS does not provide service to public employees, who instead are serviced by the Instituto de Seguridad y Servicios Sociales de los Trabajadores del Estado (ISSSTE) (English: Institute for Social Security and Services for State Workers), which attends to the health and social care needs of government employees. This includes local, state, and federal government employees. There are nearly 13 million people covered through ISSSTE. 
The government of the states in Mexico also provide health services independently of those services provided by the federal government programs. In most states, the state government has established free or subsidized healthcare to all their citizens. 
The Secretariat of Health (Secretaria de Salud) is the largest public healthcare institution, operating 809 hospitals throughout the country. 
The Mexican Social Security Institute (Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social - IMSS) grants hospital care and services to employed citizens and their dependents - there are 279 hospitals affiliated to IMSS. 
The Institute for Social Security and Services for State Workers (Instituto de Serguridad y Servicios Sociales de los Trabajadores del Estado - ISSSTE) grants hospital care and services to government employees - there are 115 hospitales affiliated to ISSSTE. 
The remaining 279 hospitals are affiliated with 9 government dependencies, including State Facilities, Secretariat of National Defense (Secretaria de Defensa Nacional), Mexican Navy (Secretaria de Marina), Petroleos Mexicanos (PEMEX), and the Red Cross (Cruz Roja). . . . the public hospital infrastructure relies on a vast network of small hospitals. Over 50% of public hospitals have less than 50 beds. . . . 
On December 1, 2006, the Mexican government created the Health Insurance for a New Generation (also called "Life Insurance for Babies"). This was followed by a February 16, 2009, announcement by President Felipe Calderon where he stated that at the current rate of progress Mexico would receive Universal Health Coverage by 2011, and a May 28, 2009, announcement in which his administration made public Universal Care Coverage for Pregnant Women. In August 2012 Mexico installed a universal healthcare system.
Vagrancy

Many people in Mexico are obviously poor. But, beggars and vagrants are virtually absent on the streets, and there are very few visibly homeless people. 

I have no real intuition regarding why this is the case. It could be that there are laws against it that are enforced, it could be that the social safety net, a healthy employment market and a low cost of living makes this rare, it could be that there are slums to which the poor are confined that tourists don't see. I couldn't tell you, and would welcome comments from anyone who has more insight into this reality.

(Incidentally, the lack of visible vagrancy is also something I've observed to other places in Mexico that I've visited that are not primarily tourist destinations.)

Criminal Justice

My understanding is that municipal police handle only traffic offenses and minor matters, while federal police handle serious matters. The municipal police appear to get little respect from the public. 

As noted regarding urban planning, build people spaces in a way that reflects little or no public trust that they will be secure without strong self-help measures designed to actually stop burglars and vandals rather than to merely indicate that an area is not open to the public symbolically.

Federal police on patrol appear to travel in packs of a couple of SUVs with about six heavily armed policemen (or policewomen who were definitely visible) in paramilitary garb. A recruiting sign in the airport for the federal police indicated that they were a paramilitary gendarme force that was part of the extended organization of the military. The closest U.S. analogy to this status might be to the U.S. Coast Guard.

The concept of "community policing" seems to be absent for the federal police. They act like occupying army military police in their demeanor and attitude.

There is apparently no posse comitatus law in Mexico as uniformed soldiers are visible guarding a variety a non-military facilities in the area (e.g. port facilities and the airport).

Intellectual Property

Lots of branded items (e.g. sports teams and popular TV series) are publicly sold in circumstances when it is clear that the vendors do not have licenses from the trademark/copyright owner to sell the goods. It is a pretty marginal part of the overall economy, but important to the livelihood of many select vendors.

Overall

Overall, Mexico comes across as a country with a weak state and in particular weak local government institutions, relative to the U.S., and as a very thinly regulated economy in general. It is something of a free market economist's dream that comes with pluses and minuses, but has not caused Mexico to have a level of development comparable to the U.S. or Canada.

05 January 2017

It Sucks To Be A 21st Century Southern European


Via Twitter.

Update January 6, 2017: Data for Iceland, Finland, Sweden and Norway here.


Life Without Technology

I am back from vacation. Today is the first day in ten days that I have:

1. Used my own computer.
2. Used the Internet (except once on a kid's device to read the Wikipedia entry setting for the rules for the card game "Hearts"). For example, I have not used email, online news, social media, blog software, Google, etc.
3. Used any computer (except one use of the Internet described above, and to review drafts of college application essays on a word processor on a kid's computer).
4. Listened to the radio or any other recorded music.
5. Drove a car.
6. Used a phone or camera (including texting).
7. Watched any video media (TV or otherwise).
8. Used a bathroom scale.
9. Read any books or articles in e-media.
10. Use a "walk-don't walk" sign.
11. Read a newspaper or magazine.
12. Used a shaver or razor.
13. Used a heater or air conditioner.

I also did not use a calculator or watch or ATM card or loyalty card or coffee machine.

An ordinary paper journals, ordinary paper books and ordinary several thousand year old ethanol technologies and the natural interface of land and water, were quite sufficient to entertain me.

I will admit to using an electric toothbrush, a microwave oven, refrigerator, and a credit card, however. Some technologies you can't live without.

26 December 2016

Louisiana Makes Rare Finding That Sentence Is Unconstitutionally Excessive

A life imprisonment sentence entered for a man with three prior non-violent felonies (twenty, fifteen and eight years old respectively) for taking $15 out of a car set up by police as a "bait-vehicle" was vacated as excessive under the Louisiana constitution, but would have probably survived 8th Amendment review under the U.S. Constitution.

Both 8th Amendment jurisprudence, and the criminal statutes that make this kind of sentencing possible, are deeply flawed. It also represents a gross abuse of prosecutorial discretion in New Orleans (no doubt for reasons not unrelated to  the defendant's race), and the law enforcement tactics used to tempt someone who might not otherwise have committed the crime at all to commit a technical felony are dubious, even if this ruling upheld their legality.
Walter Johnson reached into a “bait-vehicle” and stole $15. The jury convicted him of simple burglary of a vehicle, a violation of La. R.S. 14:62. In due course, following Mr. Johnson‟s adjudication as a fourth felony offender under the provisions of La. R.S. 15:529.1 A(3)(b), the district judge sentenced him to imprisonment for the remainder of his natural life, which is the statutorily mandated minimum sentence. His life sentence, as imposed, was without the benefit of parole, probation or suspension of sentence. . . . 
Mr. Johnson appeals his life sentence without benefit of parole, probation or suspension of sentence as excessive, violating our state‟s constitutional protection against such sentences under La. Const. art. 1, § 20. The sentencing judge found that none of Mr. Johnson‟s four felony convictions involved any violence. Because we find that the “hidden death penalty”1 imposed in this case is unconscionable and shocks our sense of justice, and is thus excessive, we vacate the sentence as imposed. We remand this matter with instructions to the district judge to conduct an evidentiary hearing on Mr. Johnson‟s motion for downward departure from the statutory minimum sentence and to impose a sentence which is not, in the constitutional sense, excessive. . . .  
A police task force situated a Jeep Cherokee vehicle on a street in Uptown New Orleans. The Jeep was outfitted with interior and exterior surveillance equipment. The Jeep‟s driver side window was left down and its doors unlocked. A $10 bill and a $5 bill, the serial numbers of which were recorded by police, as well as a laptop computer were situated in the vehicle such that any passer-by could easily observe the money and the device. On the video surveillance tape, Walter Johnson is seen to be walking past the bait-vehicle and glances into it. He immediately reappears in the videotape and is seen snatching something from inside the Jeep. He then moves out of camera range. Shortly thereafter, the police officers confronted him and located the same two bills on his person. The laptop was undisturbed in the vehicle. . . . 
Our state constitution prohibits any law that subjects an individual to “cruel, excessive, or unusual punishment.” La. Const. art. 1, § 20. The Louisiana Constitution differs from the Eighth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution in its explicit prohibition of excessive sentences. Cf. U.S. Const. Amend VIII (“Excessive bail shall not be required, nor excessive fines imposed, nor cruel and unusual punishments inflicted.”). This “deliberate inclusion by the redactors of the Constitution of a prohibition against "excessive‟ as well as cruel and unusual punishment broadened the duty of this court to review the sentencing aspects of criminal statutes.” State v. Baxley, 94-2982, p. 4 (La. 5/22/95), 656 So. 2d 973, 977 (citing State v. Goode, 380 So. 2d 1361, 1363 (La. 1980)). 
A sentence is excessive and therefore unconstitutional if “it makes no measurable contribution to acceptable goals of punishment and is nothing more than the purposeless imposition of pain and suffering and is grossly out of proportion to the severity of the crime.” See State v. Dorthey, 623 So. 2d 1276, 1280 (La. 1993) (internal citation omitted). Thus, even though an imposed sentence may be within the statutory sentencing range, and therefore “legal,” it may still violate a defendant‟s constitutional right against excessive punishment. See id., at 1280; State v. Sepulvado, 367 So. 2d 762, 767 (La. 1979). And, although we give great deference to the legislature‟s authority to determine the appropriate punishment for a crime, we emphasize that “no penalty is per se constitutional.” Solem v. Helm, 463 U.S. 277, 290 (1983); see also State v. Pernell, 14-0678, p. 4 (La. App. 4 Cir. 10/15/14), 151 So. 3d 940, 944. 
B  
At the outset, we note that Mr. Johnson was sentenced under a provision of the Habitual Offender Statute that mandates a sentence of life imprisonment without benefit of parole, probation, or suspension of sentence as a fourth felony offender. See La. R.S. 15:529.1 A(4)(b). Thus, the sentence imposed on Mr. Johnson is “legal” in the sense that it falls within the statutory range. See State v. Gibson, 16-0132, pp. 8-9 (La. App. 4 Cir. 3/16/16), 192 So. 3d 132, 137-38.  
Despite its legality, however, we find the life-without-parole sentence imposed upon Mr. Johnson unconstitutionally excessive.2 
2 Notably, the United States Supreme Court has stated that an unconstitutional sentence “is not just erroneous but contrary to law and, as a result void.” Montgomery v. Louisiana, 577 U.S. ---, ---, 136 S.Ct. 718, 731 (2016). Thus, a sentence which is unconstitutionally excessive is also illegal. 
Mr. Johnson reached into the open window of a bait-vehicle and took fifteen dollars. He is now condemned to die in prison for that crime.  
We acknowledge that Mr. Johnson‟s life sentence, under the habitual offender law, is intended as punishment not only the current conviction, but all prior convictions as well. See State v. Johnson, 97-1906, p. 7 (La. 3/4/98), 709 So. 2d 672, 677. Legitimate sentencing goals notwithstanding, Mr. Johnson‟s status as a fourth felony offender “cannot be considered in the abstract.” Solem, 463 U.S. at 296. As previously noted, the trial judge found that all his prior felonies were for nonviolent crimes. See id., at 297; see also Johnson, 709 So. 2d at 676. And the instant offense, the one which set in motion the habitual offender proceedings, is shockingly minor in nature. No person was harmed, nor any property damaged.  
Had Mr. Johnson taken the fifteen dollars but not by entry into a vehicle or other structure listed in the simple burglary statute, he would have been convicted of misdemeanor theft. See La. R.S. 14:67 B(4). Notably, the grades of theft are divided based on the amount misappropriated—the legislature set the maximum amount for misdemeanor theft at $750. The amount in this case is relevant— fifteen dollars is extraordinary in its triviality. 
We do not deny that, as a recidivist, Mr. Johnson should face some form of punishment. The inquiry of whether a sentence is grossly disproportionate, however, focuses on whether “a person deserves such punishment, not simply on whether punishment would serve a utilitarian goal.” Rummel v. Estelle, 445 U.S. 263, 288 (1980) (emphasis added) (POWELL, J., dissenting). Although a lifewithout-parole sentence may well serve to deter recidivism, the immense severity of the punishment does not fit the crime(s) in this case.  
 “[L]ife without parole is the second most severe penalty permitted by law.” Graham v. Florida, 560 U.S. 48, 69 (2010) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting Harmelin v. Michigan, 501 U.S. 957, 1001 (1991)). Only a sentence of death, which is not authorized in this case, exceeds it. Cf. La. R.S. 14:30 C (providing for capital punishment in first degree murder convictions).3
3 The United States Supreme Court has recognized that “defendants who do not kill, intend to kill, or foresee that life will be taken are categorically less deserving of the most serious forms of punishment than are murderers.” Graham v. Florida, 560 U.S. 48, 69 (2010)(citations omitted).  
Thus, Mr. Johnson has received the harshest punishment possible for his crimes. And, even though he is not subject to capital punishment, his sentence is comparable in that it irrevocably forfeits his life, freedom, and any aspirations he had for the future. Indeed, “[l]ife in prison without the possibility of parole gives no chance for fulfillment outside prison walls, no chance for reconciliation with society, no hope.” Graham, 560 U.S. at 79.   
Mr. Johnson is thirty-eight years old. He has three prior felonies: simple burglary in 1996, possession of heroin in 2001, and distribution of cocaine in 2008. Notably, the provision under which Mr. Johnson was sentenced subjected him to the same sentence as repeat violent offenders and sexual predators, despite his history of non-violence. The life-without-parole sentence imposed on him forgoes any possibility for redemption, and means that any character improvement or good behavior on his part is immaterial; he has been determined to be irredeemably and irreparably corrupt. And, barring the remote possibility of executive clemency, Mr. Johnson will spend the rest of his days in prison. See Solem, 463 U.S. at 303 (“Recognition of [the] bare possibility of commutation would make judicial review under the Eighth Amendment meaningless.”). We cannot condone a sentence which condemns Mr. Johnson to a life—and inevitable death—within prison walls, in light of his non-violent criminal history and the extraordinarily minor crime in this case.4  
4 Indeed, Louisiana courts have recognized that some sentences imposed legally under the state‟s Habitual Offender Statute are nevertheless unconstitutional. See, e.g., State v. Mosby, 14-2704, p. 1 (La. 11/20/15), 180 So. 3d 1274, 1274 (thirty-year sentence for seventy-two-year old nonviolent offender is “unconscionable.”); State v. Dorthey, 623 So. 2d 1276, 1280 (La. 1993) (twenty years for non-violent habitual offender may be excessive); State v. Ladd, 15-0772, p. 16 (La. App. 4 Cir. 4/13/16), 192 So. 3d 235 192, 244 (seventeen-year sentence excessive for defendant with history of drug possession convictions); State v. Combs, 02-1920, p. 6 (La. App. 4 Cir. 5/21/03), 848 So. 2d 672, 675 (life sentence excessive for defendant with history of non-violent offenses); State v. Burns, 97-1553 (La. App. 4 Cir. 11/10/98), 723 So. 2d 1013, 1019 (twenty-five-year old defendant sentenced to life as fourth felony offender is “young enough to overcome his addiction” and has “the possibility of a productive future.”). 
We thus vacate the life-without-parole sentence imposed on this defendant and remand for resentencing.  
Full opinion here.

Johnson's fate is now in the hands of a trial court judge in New Orleans who has immense discretion in sentencing in this case, but unlike the original verdict, has some discretion. In all likelihood, the final sentence will not be life in prison without parole, but will probably, at least, be the maximum sentence for the offense without a habitual offender enhancement.

Background

A local newspaper story has more background on the case.
He was found guilty of simple burglary and illegal possession of stolen things at a trial in April 2015, and Orleans Parish District Attorney Leon Cannizzaro's office promptly invoked the state's habitual-offender law. 
Johnson, who had prior convictions for simple burglary, heroin possession and cocaine distribution, was deemed a four-time felon. Criminal District Court Judge Karen Herman sentenced him in October 2015 to a mandatory life prison term with no chance for parole. . . .
Judges have little control over such decisions, and the Louisiana Supreme Court has been loath to step on the Legislature's toes by overriding one of the nation's stiffest habitual-offender laws. The state's high court has ruled that departures below the law's mandatory minimum sentences must be limited to "exceedingly rare" cases. 
But occasionally it has seen fit to do so. Last year, for instance, the Supreme Court found a 30-year sentence "unconscionable" for Doreatha Mosby, a 73-year-old New Orleans woman who was found with a crack pipe tucked in her bra. 
Yet in the case of Bernard Noble, a father of seven who was found with the equivalent of two joints of marijuana, the court found he wasn't "exceedingly rare" enough to allow a sentence below the mandatory 13-year minimum under the statute. 
Both of those cases, as well as Johnson's, came out of Orleans Parish, where Cannizzaro employs the habitual-offender law far more often than any other prosecutor in the state. In 2015, Cannizzaro's office sent 154 convicts off to long prison sentences under the statute — almost one of every four offenders who were shipped to state prisons from New Orleans that year, according to data analyzed by the Pew Charitable Trusts. 
"You're dealing with different crime problems, socioeconomic levels, and you're dealing with different judges, different sentencing dispositions," Christopher Bowman, a spokesman for Cannizzaro's office, said in explaining the office's penchant for deploying the statute. 
"If you were dealing with a situation where a prosecutor feels probation is being given too freely, then the district attorney is required to use the habitual-offender law." 
According to a state corrections spokesman, Johnson has returned to prison frequently on probation and parole violations, as well as new charges, since his first conviction, in 1996, for simple burglary. 
He has shuttled in and out of prison, with convictions for heroin possession in 2001 and cocaine distribution in 2008. His record also includes a conviction for possession with intent to distribute counterfeit drugs, records show. . . . 
[Appeals panel] Judge Joy Cossich Lobrano agreed with them in denying Johnson's bid to overturn his conviction — he had argued entrapment — but declined to declare his life sentence excessive. Lobrano said she would have ordered Herman to hold a hearing first before making that determination.
Colorado Habitual Sentencing Compared

Colorado's recidivist sentencing regime is not as draconian as that of Louisiana.

* One problem with the Louisiana statute is that it classified an offense that should have been a misdemeanor as a felony. Colorado law would not classify removing $15 from a vehicle without breaking into the vehicle as a felony. It would be a class one petty offense, see C.R.S. § 18-4-401 and would not be eligible for habitual offender enhancement which apply only to felony offenses.

In Colorado, this offense by this offender would have resulted in up to a six month jail sentence (about half of which could be reduced for good behavior in addition to any credit for time served), a $500 fine, court costs, and restitution or seizure of the $15 stolen.

* Another problem is that Louisiana unreasonably elevated a prior mere drug possession offense to a felony, something that states like Colorado are moving away from now. One of this man's prior felonies, possession of heroin, is currently a misdemeanor in Colorado, although it would have been a felony at the time.

* A third problem is that it allows life imprisonment without parole for less serious new offenses and prior offenses. Colorado's statutes require more serious priors, or more recent priors, or do not carry a life imprisonment consequence and instead have an enhanced sentence proportionate in some way to the current offense. No habitual criminal statute in Colorado carries a life without possibility of parole sentence.

Colorado's life in prison with parole after forty years for habitual criminals statute requires that the current conviction be for a class 1 felony (first degree murder or aggravated kidnapping), a class 2 felony (e.g. second degree murder), or a class 3 violent felony (e.g. armed robbery), specifically excludes burglary offenses, and requires two prior convictions of similar seriousness, or a current conviction for a violent felony and has a previous habitual criminal conviction. C.R.S. § 18-1.3-801(1) and (2.5).

None of this man's priors wold have counted for the purpose of this Colorado statute even if he had committed a felony this time.

Colorado's other general habitual criminal provisions requires a felony conviction two prior felonies within the last ten years that are not of the least serious (class 6) class, and triples the maximum sentence, C.R.S. § 18-1.3-801(1.5), or to a felony conviction other than a minor drug conviction with three prior felonies that are not the least serious at any time resulting in quadruple the maximum sentence, C.R.S. § 18-1.3-801(2).

He would have only one prior for the purpose of tripling statute, but might have been eligible if he had committed a Colorado felony for the quadrupling statute.

Colorado's habitual burglary statute includes only first or second degree burglary, not lesser burglary offenses, requires a prior serious burglary offense to be within the last ten years, and sets a maximum sentence of double the usual offense, and a minimum sentence equal to the usual maximum sentence. C.R.S § 18-13-804.

He would have had no priors for the purpose of this statue in Colorado.

Colorado's habitual offense statutes, unlike those of some states, also only allows one strike for criminal episode, even if multiple convictions for felonies resulted from that criminal episode.

* Finally, don't take this blog post as a definitive statement of Colorado recidivist sentencing law. While I capture the highlights, there are several fine details not applicable in this fact pattern that are relevant.

Colorado Program Trains Makers

The U.S., in general, has done a rather poor job of recognizing that a high school curriculum designed to prepare students for a liberal arts higher education is not the optimal option for everyone. But, there are programs in place that do provide alternatives in Colorado.
The old shop classes in Colorado schools that included drill bits, lumber and T-squares have morphed into a place where robotics, virtual reality and wind power are being taught. More and more students are flocking to these courses during high school and after, lured by state-of-the-art technology, low tuition and secure future job prospects. 
After a drop from 2009 to 2012, enrollment in career and technical education courses has surged, with more than 125,000 high schoolers and 20,000 middle schoolers enrolling in 2015. In all, a record 181,000 Colorado students were enrolled in CTE courses, a national curriculum with seeds in vocational education courses. . . .  These days, CTE courses span agriculture, skilled trades, business marketing, criminal justice, culinary arts, fashion design and Science, Technology, Energy and Math, or STEM. 
“This is not your granddad’s vocational education,” said Sarah Heath, state director/assistant provost for CTE in the Colorado Community College System. A lot of these students enter into a marketplace desperate for workers. As many as 16,000 advanced manufacturing jobs go unfilled each year and most require highly skilled workers, experts say. To that end, 84 percent of high schoolers who finish CTE courses had jobs within a year, while 94 percent of all CTE finishers obtained a job, Heath said. Starting salaries depend on the job, but high school graduates with a mechanical maintenance degree can start at $29,000 annually and go up to $83,000, CTE officials say. . . .  Many CTE courses are concurrent, meaning high school students can earn college credits. Enrollment in these classes is at an all-time high after a roller coaster ride in the years after the Great Recession. 
By last year, 38 percent of all enrolled students in Colorado secondary schools, or 125,182, took at least one CTE course, an all-time high, according to officials. Those numbers were up from 120,702 in 2013-14 and continue an upward trend in CTE enrollment after dipping to 112,427 in 2011-12. Post-secondary enrollment was also up in 2014-15, with 34,829 students. Only 2012-13 boasted a higher enrollment, 34,893.
The most popular certificate programs for high school students are for nurses aides, welding, automotive technology and cosmetology, Heath said. 
For pure value, it’s hard to beat many career- and technical-oriented courses, proponents of technical education say. Students at Aims Community College, for instance, haven’t faced a tuition hike in six years. Those who live in the taxing district around the Greeley-based school pay $2,021 a year for 30 credit hours, Aims spokeswoman Laura Coale said. Weld County, meanwhile, provides residents with up to $3,000 a year for four years to use toward education, Coale said. By contrast, tuition for two semesters at the University of Colorado at Boulder for in-state residents pursuing an undergraduate degree in business is $31,745; for engineering, it’s $30,065.
From here.

As an aside, the usual "E" in STEM is "engineering" and not "energy".

23 December 2016

Lesbian and Bi-Women Massively Overrepresented Among Incarcerated (Gay Men Also, But Less So)

There are proportionately a lot more lesbian and bisexual women in jail and prison than in the general population, and they are treated worse while they are there than straight women. Gay and bisexual men are over-represented and treated worse, but less dramatically.
OBJECTIVES:To report characteristics of sexual minority US inmates. 
METHODS: We drew our data from the National Inmate Survey, 2011-2012, a probability sample of inmates in US prisons and jails. We determined weighted proportions and odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals to estimate differences between sexual minority and heterosexual inmates.
RESULTS: Sexual minorities (those who self-identify as lesbian, gay, or bisexual or report a same-sex sexual experience before arrival at the facility) were disproportionately incarcerated: 9.3% of men in prison, 6.2% of men in jail, 42.1% of women in prison, and 35.7% of women in jail were sexual minorities. The incarceration rate of self-identified lesbian, gay, or bisexual persons was 1882 per 100 000, more than 3 times that of the US adult population. 
Compared with straight inmates, sexual minorities were more likely to have been sexually victimized as children, to have been sexually victimized while incarcerated, to have experienced solitary confinement and other sanctions, and to report current psychological distress. 
CONCLUSIONS: There is disproportionate incarceration, mistreatment, harsh punishment, and sexual victimization of sexual minority inmates, which calls for special public policy and health interventions.
IH Meyer, et al.. "Incarceration Rates and Traits of Sexual Minorities in the United States: National Inmate Survey, 2011-2012." Am J Public Health (Epub ahead of print December 20, 2016).

Commentators on the story are asking the question, how much of the difference is differences in rates of crime commission and how much of the difference is due to different treatment in the criminal justice system. There is certainly enough of a disparity for both factors to play a role.

Arrests Are Often Deadly

Official statistics have in the past put justifiable homicides at the hands of law enforcement in the hundreds. But, a lot more people die when being arrested:
An estimated 1,900 people died while being arrested by police in America in 2015, according to new figures from the federal government. The deaths include both those who died directly as a result of police use of force and those who died while being restrained by police, by suffering a heart attack for example. 
Sixty-four percent of the deaths were homicides, including justified homicide by a law enforcement officer. Eighteen percent were suicides, 11 percent were accidents, and less than 2 percent were natural. The rest of the deaths were undetermined, unknown, or subject to an incomplete investigation. While past reports issued by the Bureau of Justice Statistics addressed the demographics of those who died during arrest, the report published last week did not include such a breakdown. 
The numbers are the first to be published since the Bureau of Justice Statistics overhauled its arrest-related death-counting methods in 2015. The data now better aligns with newspapers’ and activists’ estimates, which historically were much higher than the federal government’s, FiveThirtyEight reports. And it helps to fill a long-growing desire among activists and officials for better government data on police use of force in general.
There were about 10,800,000 arrests in 2015.  There were about 19 deaths per 100,000 people arrested in 2015.

Back Page Criminal Charges Dismissed

California brought criminal pimping charges against the owners of the online website "Back Page" because many of the advertisements on the site are advertisements for the sexual services of victims of human trafficking. 

The charges were brought and the CEO was arrested on October 6, 2016. Two co-defendants who were also executive in the company were also arrested.  All three men were then released on bail after spending four days in jail over the prosecution's objections. Their lawyer then filed a motion asking that the charges be dismissed that was fully briefed.

A preliminary ruling dismissing the charges was made on November 16, 2016. And a week ago the charges were dismissed in a final ruling, because federal law related to user provided content on websites provided the defendants with immunity from liability, just as the California prosecutor bringing the case had stated it did in public back in 2013.

I did not see any of this, other than the initial arrests, reported in the news.

Texas Still Evil

Texas remains a state full of evil, twisted people who elected representatives bent on making the world a more evil and inhumane place. It is basically hell on Earth and I don't see why anyone would ever willingly live there, but apparently millions of people disagree with me on this point. 
[T]he Texas Department of State Health Services, (a place where medical evidence is given the same weight as the results of a Magic 8 ball) has approved a regulation that requires burials for ALL fetal tissue that comes from a miscarriage, ectopic pregnancy or an abortion performed at a Texas healthcare facility. 
And who benefits from this, you ask? The clinics? Nope. The Patients? Nope.
 Weirdly, the only people it would benefit are funeral directors — and wait for it — they fought hard AGAINST the regulation because it’s well... CREEPY AND UNNECESSARY AF!
When the only people who stand to gain anything think it’s a bad idea and want nothing to do with it, one would think that the issue would be laid to rest, but not this group of zealots. Their motives are not based on anything other than creating yet another insane roadblock that puts undue financial burdens on clinics so they can no longer afford to stay open.

How this will affect pregnant people?

Well, because it is intentionally sketchy in detail and the regulation was vaguely written, it could put a woman having a miscarriage at home in a position of weighing whether or not she should go to a hospital because she isn’t sure if she will have to pay for a fetus funeral, if she decides to get the medical help she needs! Again, whose dignity do you care about again? Good Lord!

Now there is some good news: This Texas buffoonery was just put on hold until January thanks to a federal judge. But then comes January...

And bad news: This is not just a Texas thing.

Similar laws in Louisiana and Indiana have also been passed and shot down in court. But that doesn’t give anti-choice lunatics a moment’s pause. They’ll keep churning out regulations like this until they find a court that will let it stand. And with President-elect Donald Trump, that court may well be the Supreme Court.
From here.

See also here, so it is clear that Texas is not consistently pro-life in the Roman Catholic sense.

22 December 2016

8400 Posts

This is the 8400th post at Wash Park Prophet and sister blog Dispatches From Turtle Island, combined since their inception about eleven and a half years ago, an average blogging pace of about two post a day for the entire time period, although some parts of that period have obviously been more prolific than others.

The first post was made on July 3, 2005.